Florida at Mississippi State

Final — Florida 45, Mississippi State 28This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Florida@Mississippi State Florida -6.5 · O/U 58

Florida

Saturday 2024-09-21

12:00pm

88°F · wind 3 mph

Mississippi State

Florida away 2 ATS trends

Florida-6.5 ATS

Napier on the road

67.6%

win rate

23-11

record

+29.1%

roi

+4.8ppg

avg cover

📈

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last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +4.1 ppg since 2013: 23-11 (67.6%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg

Florida-6.5 ATScooling

As a road fav of more than 3 points, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks

56.1%

win rate

354-277-12

record

+7.1%

roi

+2.4ppg

avg cover

📈

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last 20: 13-4-3 (76.5%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg last 10: 7-1-2 (87.5%) · avg cover +8.7 ppg since 2013: 354-277-12 (56.1%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg

Mississippi State home 1 ATS trend

Mississippi State+6.5 ATScooling

As a dog, in a conference game, in the heat

57.1%

win rate

116-87-5

record

+9.1%

roi

+1.5ppg

avg cover

📈

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last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg cover -4.0 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -6.4 ppg since 2013: 116-87-5 (57.1%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg

Over / Under

3 trends

Over 58 Over

Jeff Lebby at home

75.0%

win rate

12-4

record

+43.2%

roi

+6.8ppg

avg over

📈

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last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.5 ppg since 2013: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg over +6.8 ppg

Over 58 Over

Billy Napier on the road, off a loss

80.0%

win rate

8-2

record

+52.7%

roi

+8.6ppg

avg over

📈

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last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +8.6 ppg since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +8.6 ppg

Under 58 Under

Early in the season, in a conference game, in the heat

60.9%

win rate

39-25-1

record

+16.3%

roi

+1.2ppg

avg under

📈

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last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +7.5 ppg since 2013: 39-25-1 (60.9%) · avg under +1.2 ppg

Davis Wade Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 4 2024 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.