Ball State at Massachusetts
Ball State@
Massachusetts
Massachusetts -3 · O/U 49.5
Ball StateWednesday 2026-11-04
7:00pm
57°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 0%
MassachusettsByeLast weekBye
vs BuffaloNext week@ Toledo
70OFF plays last game68
59DEF plays last game66
Miles flown, last 21 days
931 mi47th39th725 mi
Exclude Ball State weeks
Exclude Massachusetts weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
78thOffense100th
132ndDefense79th
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3 Ball State vs Massachusetts −3
vs Massachusetts −3Ball State OFF vs Massachusetts DEF
run blocking74th130thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed73rd118thstuffing runs
standard-down OFF79th102ndstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF61st37thbig-play DEF
pass OFF57th74thpass DEF
run OFF99th109thrun DEF
passing-down OFF88th80thpassing-down DEF
Ball State DEF vs Massachusetts OFF
big-play DEF134th106thbig-play OFF
pass DEF127th102ndpass OFF
run DEF up front88th63rdrun blocking
run DEF78th81strun OFF
standard-down DEF99th93rdstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF122nd108thpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs68th67thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
65.090thPlays per game110th63.0
51%70thPass rate77th51%
66.671stPlays faced per game45th69.7
Ball State
away
2 ATS trends
Ball State+3
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.0%
win rate
442-362-25
record
+5.0%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWLLLWLLWLLWLLPLLL
last 20: 4-15-1 (21.1%) · avg cover -8.7 ppg
last 10: 2-7-1 (22.2%) · avg cover -11.8 ppg
since 2013: 442-362-25 (55.0%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
Ball State+3
ATSfadeFading Harasymiak off a loss
71.4%
win rate
10-4
record
+36.4%
roi
+8.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWWLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +10.2 ppg
since 2013: 10-4 (71.4%) · avg cover +8.5 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 49.5
Under
Teams as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
55.9%
win rate
171-135-6
record
+6.7%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg under
📈
LWWLWWLLLWLLLWLWLWLW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg under -3.7 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -4.0 ppg
since 2013: 171-135-6 (55.9%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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