Boise State at Colorado State
20Boise State@
Colorado State
Boise State -17.5 · O/U 68.5
20Boise StateSaturday 2026-11-07
6:00pm
47°F · wind 11 mph · 💧 8%
Colorado StateW 46-45 vs Texas StateLast weekL 14-31 @ Utah State
vs Oregon StateNext week@ Washington State
87OFF plays last game57
65DEF plays last game64
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,049 mi57th38th718 mi
Exclude Boise State weeks
Exclude Colorado State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
3rdOffense26th
56thDefense137th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−17.5 Boise State vs Colorado State +17.5
vs Colorado State +17.5runs not stuffed4th134thstuffing runs
passing-down OFF9th138thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF18th138thpass DEF
run blocking17th137thrun DEF up front
run OFF25th137thrun DEF
standard-down OFF30th138thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF18th97thbig-play DEF
big-play DEF136th7thbig-play OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−17.5 Boise State vs Colorado State +17.5
vs Colorado State +17.5Boise State DEF vs Colorado State OFF
stuffing runs15th77thruns not stuffed
run DEF up front56th81strun blocking
passing-down DEF75th20thpassing-down OFF
run DEF63rd37thrun OFF
pass DEF28th35thpass OFF
standard-down DEF39th44thstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
71.722ndPlays per game63rd67.6
44%118thPass rate41st54%
59.9133rdPlays faced per game71st66.6
20Boise State
away
1 ATS trend
Boise State-17.5
ATSDanielson on the road, off a win
72.7%
win rate
8-3-1
record
+38.8%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WPWWLWWWLWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.2 ppg
since 2013: 8-3-1 (72.7%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 68.5
Over
Jim Mora as a dog of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
12-4-2
record
+43.2%
roi
+5.5ppg
avg over
📈
LWPWLWWPLWLWWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +7.9 ppg
since 2013: 12-4-2 (75.0%) · avg over +5.5 ppg
- Canvas Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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