Cincinnati at Houston
Cincinnati@
Houston
Houston -10.5 · O/U 62.5
CincinnatiSaturday 2026-11-07
Kickoff TBD
HoustonL 25-49 vs UtahLast weekBye
@ Iowa StateNext week@ Colorado
64OFF plays last game66
72DEF plays last game63
Miles flown, last 21 days
895 mi45th98th2,400 mi
Exclude Cincinnati weeks
Exclude Houston weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
21stOffense12th
111thDefense83rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10.5 Cincinnati vs Houston −10.5
vs Houston −10.5big-play OFF5th108thbig-play DEF
pass DEF124th4thpass OFF
passing-down DEF111th6thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front109th11thrun blocking
standard-down DEF104th10thstandard-down OFF
stuffing runs98th17thruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+10.5 Cincinnati vs Houston −10.5
vs Houston −10.5Cincinnati OFF vs Houston DEF
passing-down OFF23rd83rdpassing-down DEF
pass OFF43rd94thpass DEF
run blocking16th64thrun DEF up front
standard-down OFF36th75thstandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed34th73rdstuffing runs
run OFF30th56thrun DEF
Cincinnati DEF vs Houston OFF
big-play DEF75th134thbig-play OFF
run DEF84th23rdrun OFF
Pace & tendencies
64.790thPlays per game18th72.6
47%104thPass rate109th46%
74.47thPlays faced per game110th63.7
Houston
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Houston-10.5
ATSFritz as a fav of more than 3 points, off a loss
77.3%
win rate
17-5
record
+47.5%
roi
+10.9ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWLWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWL
last 20: 16-4 (80.0%) · avg cover +10.8 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +17.2 ppg
since 2013: 17-5 (77.3%) · avg cover +10.9 ppg
Houston-10.5
ATSfadeFading Satterfield as a dog, off a loss
66.7%
win rate
16-8-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWPWWLLWLWWWWWWWL
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
since 2013: 16-8-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 62.5
Under
Willie Fritz at home
60.0%
win rate
36-24
record
+14.5%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg under
📈
WWWWWWWWWWWLWLLWLLWL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg under +4.2 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -1.8 ppg
since 2013: 36-24 (60.0%) · avg under +1.7 ppg
- TDECU Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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