Colorado at Arizona State
Colorado@
Arizona State
Arizona State -3.5 · O/U 49.5
ColoradoSaturday 2026-11-07
7:30pm
80°F · wind 4 mph · 💧 2%
Arizona StateW 27-24 vs Kansas StateLast weekL 20-27 @ BYU
vs HoustonNext week@ UCF
64OFF plays last game77
71DEF plays last game62
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,626 mi83rd48th944 mi
Exclude Colorado weeks
Exclude Arizona State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
105thOffense119th
34thDefense51st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3.5 Colorado vs Arizona State −3.5
vs Arizona State −3.5big-play DEF24th112thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF34th114thstandard-down OFF
run OFF122nd24thrun DEF
run blocking106th18thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3.5 Colorado vs Arizona State −3.5
vs Arizona State −3.5Colorado OFF vs Arizona State DEF
standard-down OFF105th59thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF78th34thpassing-down DEF
runs not stuffed62nd38thstuffing runs
pass OFF66th61stpass DEF
big-play OFF97th80thbig-play DEF
Colorado DEF vs Arizona State OFF
pass DEF43rd104thpass OFF
run DEF27th84thrun OFF
stuffing runs15th67thruns not stuffed
run DEF up front22nd51strun blocking
passing-down DEF42nd63rdpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
69.053rdPlays per game42nd69.9
51%76thPass rate52nd53%
71.124thPlays faced per game27th71.0
Arizona State
home
3 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Arizona State-3.5
ATSfadeFading teams in a conference game, in primetime, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
61.4%
win rate
78-49-3
record
+17.3%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWPPLWWLWWWLWWLWLLWL
last 20: 11-7-2 (61.1%) · avg cover +2.8 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
since 2013: 78-49-3 (61.4%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Arizona State-3.5
ATSDillingham off a loss
75.0%
win rate
12-4-1
record
+43.2%
roi
+5.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWPWWWLWWWWWLWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
since 2013: 12-4-1 (75.0%) · avg cover +5.5 ppg
Arizona State-3.5
ATSfadeFading Sanders on the road, in primetime
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+11.9ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLWWWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +11.9 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +11.9 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 49.5
Under
Kenny Dillingham off a loss
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWWLWLLLWWWLWWW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -3.9 ppg
since 2013: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg under +1.6 ppg
- Mountain America Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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