Florida State at Boston College
Florida State@
Boston College
Florida State -6.5 · O/U 51.5
Florida StateSaturday 2026-11-07
12:00pm
60°F · wind 3 mph · 💧 48%
Boston CollegeL 24-36 vs ClemsonLast weekL 2-47 @ Duke
@ PittsburghNext week@ Notre Dame
–OFF plays last game61
–DEF plays last game67
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,097 mi60th106th3,067 mi
Exclude Florida State weeks
Exclude Boston College weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
32ndOffense111th
114thDefense36th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−6.5 Florida State vs Boston College +6.5
vs Boston College +6.5run DEF up front116th29thrun blocking
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−6.5 Florida State vs Boston College +6.5
vs Boston College +6.5Florida State OFF vs Boston College DEF
run blocking5th66thrun DEF up front
run OFF26th65thrun DEF
runs not stuffed9th47thstuffing runs
pass OFF64th49thpass DEF
big-play OFF11th32ndbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF74th63rdstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF12th22ndpassing-down DEF
Florida State DEF vs Boston College OFF
run DEF90th35thrun OFF
big-play DEF124th73rdbig-play OFF
pass DEF107th126thpass OFF
standard-down DEF91st85thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF97th98thpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs103rd105thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
68.059thPlays per game78th66.0
47%105thPass rate102nd47%
69.049thPlays faced per game79th66.3
Boston College
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Boston College+6.5
ATSfadeFading late-season teams, off a loss, playing 15°+ colder than at home
67.3%
win rate
35-17-2
record
+28.5%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWWWWWWLLWWWLLLWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +8.3 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
since 2013: 35-17-2 (67.3%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
Boston College+6.5
ATSO'Brien as a dog of more than 3 points
66.7%
win rate
14-7
record
+27.3%
roi
+1.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWLWWWLLWWLWLWWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.2 ppg
since 2013: 14-7 (66.7%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 51.5
Over
Bill O'Brien as a dog, off a loss
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLWWLWWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +0.1 ppg
since 2013: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg over +1.7 ppg
- Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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