Fresno State at Utah State
Fresno State@
Utah State
Fresno State -2.5 · O/U 41.5
Fresno StateSaturday 2026-11-07
9:30pm
48°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 0%
Utah StateW 38-22 vs Oregon StateLast weekW 31-14 vs Colorado State
@ Texas StateNext week@ San Diego State
–OFF plays last game64
–DEF plays last game57
Miles flown, last 21 days
545 mi27th95th2,254 mi
Exclude Fresno State weeks
Exclude Utah State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
76thOffense106th
54thDefense27th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−2.5 Fresno State vs Utah State +2.5
vs Utah State +2.5travel545 mi, 21 days27th95thtravel2,254 mi, 21 days
runs not stuffed130th27thstuffing runs
run blocking118th17thrun DEF up front
run OFF120th32ndrun DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−2.5 Fresno State vs Utah State +2.5
vs Utah State +2.5Fresno State OFF vs Utah State DEF
standard-down OFF113th57thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF61st23rdbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF36th12thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF41st32ndpass DEF
Fresno State DEF vs Utah State OFF
standard-down DEF79th132ndstandard-down OFF
pass DEF66th116thpass OFF
run DEF74th123rdrun OFF
stuffing runs75th115thruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF55th79thpassing-down OFF
big-play DEF44th39thbig-play OFF
run DEF up front70th82ndrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
62.1118thPlays per game125th61.1
53%54thPass rate49th53%
67.959thPlays faced per game41st69.9
Fresno State
away
1 ATS trend
Fresno State-2.5
ATScoolingOn the road, off a win, with a total under 42
57.8%
win rate
78-57-3
record
+10.3%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLLLLWWWLWLLWLLLWLL
last 20: 7-13 (35.0%) · avg cover -3.7 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg cover -5.5 ppg
since 2013: 78-57-3 (57.8%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
Utah State
home
1 ATS trend
Utah State+2.5
ATSMendenhall at home
62.0%
win rate
44-27-2
record
+18.3%
roi
+2.0ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLLWLWLWWWWWWWLWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 44-27-2 (62.0%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 41.5
Over
In a conference game, in primetime, with a total under 42
68.4%
win rate
52-24
record
+30.6%
roi
+6.4ppg
avg over
🔥
WWLWWWWWLWWWLWLLWWWL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +5.8 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 52-24 (68.4%) · avg over +6.4 ppg
Under 41.5
Under
Bronco Mendenhall at home, in primetime
63.6%
win rate
14-8
record
+21.5%
roi
+2.8ppg
avg under
📈
WLLWLWWLWWLLWLWWLWWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +0.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 14-8 (63.6%) · avg under +2.8 ppg
- Maverik Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
NFL
betting trends by week and game.