Georgia State at App State
Georgia State@
App State
App State -3.5 · O/U 57.5
Georgia StateSaturday 2026-11-07
2:30pm
50°F · wind 13 mph · 💧 7%
App StateL 20-31 vs Coastal CarolinaLast weekL 3-19 @ Georgia Southern
vs Georgia SouthernNext week@ Marshall
73OFF plays last game–
68DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
999 mi54th23rd525 mi
Exclude Georgia State weeks
Exclude App State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
59thOffense88th
89thDefense90th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3.5 Georgia State vs App State −3.5
vs App State −3.5stuffing runs42nd122ndruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3.5 Georgia State vs App State −3.5
vs App State −3.5Georgia State OFF vs App State DEF
standard-down OFF54th117thstandard-down DEF
run OFF56th115thrun DEF
pass OFF53rd95thpass DEF
run blocking36th69thrun DEF up front
big-play OFF24th16thbig-play DEF
passing-down OFF77th65thpassing-down DEF
runs not stuffed80th77thstuffing runs
Georgia State DEF vs App State OFF
run DEF up front77th123rdrun blocking
passing-down DEF49th82ndpassing-down OFF
big-play DEF97th54thbig-play OFF
pass DEF65th57thpass OFF
run DEF102nd124thrun OFF
standard-down DEF96th97thstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
69.445thPlays per game28th70.8
49%88thPass rate42nd54%
65.391stPlays faced per game17th72.3
App State
home
1 ATS trend
App State-3.5
ATSfadeFading McGee off a loss
76.9%
win rate
10-3
record
+46.9%
roi
+3.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWWWWWLLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +4.0 ppg
since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 57.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
Over 57.5
Over
Dell McGee on the road
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+8.1ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLLLWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +8.1 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +8.1 ppg
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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