Kentucky at Tennessee
8Kentucky@
16Tennessee
Tennessee -6 · O/U 51.5
8KentuckySaturday 2026-11-07
6:15pm
55°F · wind 4 mph · 💧 0%
16TennesseeByeLast weekBye
vs FloridaNext week@ Texas A&M
66OFF plays last game74
55DEF plays last game65
Miles flown, last 21 days
146 mi8th20th428 mi
Exclude Kentucky weeks
Exclude Tennessee weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
28thOffense62nd
23rdDefense3rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+6 Kentucky vs Tennessee −6
vs Tennessee −6big-play DEF53rd132ndbig-play OFF
big-play OFF128th8thbig-play DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+6 Kentucky vs Tennessee −6
vs Tennessee −6Kentucky OFF vs Tennessee DEF
runs not stuffed24th62ndstuffing runs
run blocking25th54thrun DEF up front
run OFF8th32ndrun DEF
passing-down OFF62nd16thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF50th19thpass DEF
standard-down OFF15th22ndstandard-down DEF
Kentucky DEF vs Tennessee OFF
pass DEF66th90thpass OFF
stuffing runs52nd16thruns not stuffed
run DEF50th15thrun OFF
run DEF up front44th15thrun blocking
standard-down DEF14th21ststandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF133rd124thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
66.175thPlays per game34th70.3
52%61stPass rate127th42%
71.126thPlays faced per game111th63.7
16Tennessee
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Tennessee-6
ATSAs a fav, at home in a ranked-vs-ranked game, spread under 10
62.4%
win rate
143-86-5
record
+19.2%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg cover
🔥
LLWWLLLLLWWWWLLWLWWW
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.5 ppg
since 2013: 143-86-5 (62.4%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 51.5
Over
Josh Heupel off a loss
65.2%
win rate
15-8
record
+24.5%
roi
+7.7ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWWWWWLLWLLWWWLLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +8.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over +0.1 ppg
since 2013: 15-8 (65.2%) · avg over +7.7 ppg
- Neyland Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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