Maryland at Purdue
Maryland@
Purdue
Purdue -6.5 · O/U 57.5
MarylandSaturday 2026-11-07
12:30pm
59°F · wind 9 mph · 💧 2%
PurdueL 17-20 vs IllinoisLast weekL 17-31 @ Penn State
vs WisconsinNext week@ Iowa
58OFF plays last game45
67DEF plays last game79
Miles flown, last 21 days
539 mi26th49th952 mi
Exclude Maryland weeks
Exclude Purdue weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
108thOffense31st
93rdDefense120th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+6.5 Maryland vs Purdue −6.5
vs Purdue −6.5run DEF up front32nd120thrun blocking
big-play OFF43rd117thbig-play DEF
passing-down DEF113th22ndpassing-down OFF
pass DEF106th31stpass OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+6.5 Maryland vs Purdue −6.5
vs Purdue −6.5Maryland OFF vs Purdue DEF
pass OFF95th129thpass DEF
passing-down OFF99th132ndpassing-down DEF
run OFF115th122ndrun DEF
standard-down OFF104th102ndstandard-down DEF
run blocking124th114thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed126th124thstuffing runs
Maryland DEF vs Purdue OFF
big-play DEF71st32ndbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF72nd47thstandard-down OFF
run DEF68th54thrun OFF
stuffing runs69th70thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
66.473rdPlays per game78th66.0
61%6thPass rate28th55%
68.752ndPlays faced per game68th67.0
Maryland
away
1 ATS trend
Maryland+6.5
ATSfadeFading Odom off a loss
60.5%
win rate
26-17
record
+15.4%
roi
+1.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWWWLWWLWWLLWWWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
since 2013: 26-17 (60.5%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
Purdue
home
1 ATS trend
Purdue-6.5
ATSfadeFading Locksley off a loss
63.6%
win rate
28-16-1
record
+21.5%
roi
+7.6ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWLLWWWLLWWWWWWWLWP
last 20: 12-7-1 (63.2%) · avg cover +7.9 ppg
last 10: 8-1-1 (88.9%) · avg cover +12.6 ppg
since 2013: 28-16-1 (63.6%) · avg cover +7.6 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 57.5
Over
Mike Locksley as a dog of more than 3 points, off a loss
66.7%
win rate
18-9
record
+27.3%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg over
📈
WWLWWLWWWLWWWLWLWWWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg over +5.6 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +5.6 ppg
since 2013: 18-9 (66.7%) · avg over +4.0 ppg
- Ross-Ade Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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