Miami at Notre Dame
Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.
Miami@
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -6.5 · O/U 54.5
MiamiSaturday 2026-11-07
7:30pm
48°F · wind 20 mph · 💧 13%
Notre Dame@ North CarolinaLast weekvs Navy
vs DukeNext weekvs Boston College
–OFF plays last game–
–DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,522 mi101st78th1,539 mi
Exclude Miami weeks
Exclude Notre Dame weeks
Stats from games played through week 8
EPA rank · adjusted
1stOffense2nd
47thDefense6th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+6.5 Miami vs Notre Dame −6.5
vs Notre Dame −6.5pass DEF78th10thpass OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+6.5 Miami vs Notre Dame −6.5
vs Notre Dame −6.5Miami OFF vs Notre Dame DEF
pass OFF1st36thpass DEF
runs not stuffed3rd32ndstuffing runs
big-play OFF16th41stbig-play DEF
run OFF58th2ndrun DEF
standard-down OFF3rd9thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF14th14thpassing-down DEF
run blocking7th17thrun DEF up front
Miami DEF vs Notre Dame OFF
stuffing runs64th13thruns not stuffed
standard-down DEF29th1ststandard-down OFF
run DEF12th10thrun OFF
big-play DEF115th95thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF81st59thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front16th25thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
70.730thPlays per game33rd70.4
53%48thPass rate85th50%
63.5112thPlays faced per game137th55.6
Miami
away
1 ATS trend
Miami+6.5
ATSAs a dog, in wind of 11+ mph, playing 15°+ colder than at home
60.5%
win rate
23-15-2
record
+15.6%
roi
-1.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWLWWLWLWWWWWLLWLLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
since 2013: 23-15-2 (60.5%) · avg cover -1.3 ppg
Notre Dame
home
2 ATS trends · 2 🔥
Notre Dame-6.5
ATSfadeFading teams in a non-conference game, in primetime, playing 15°+ colder than at home
71.9%
win rate
41-16-1
record
+37.3%
roi
+7.0ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLLWWWWWLWLWWWLWWWWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +7.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +9.9 ppg
since 2013: 41-16-1 (71.9%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg
Notre Dame-6.5
ATSFreeman as a fav
66.1%
win rate
41-21
record
+26.2%
roi
+5.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWLWL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +3.3 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
since 2013: 41-21 (66.1%) · avg cover +5.4 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 54.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- Notre Dame Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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