Nebraska at Illinois
Nebraska@
Illinois
Nebraska -4.5 · O/U 49.5
NebraskaFriday 2026-11-06
8:00pm
45°F · wind 8 mph · 💧 3%
IllinoisL 10-17 vs WashingtonLast weekW 20-17 @ Maryland
@ RutgersNext week@ UCLA
75OFF plays last game67
62DEF plays last game58
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,161 mi108th67th1,212 mi
Exclude Nebraska weeks
Exclude Illinois weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
31stOffense24th
16thDefense131st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−4.5 Nebraska vs Illinois +4.5
vs Illinois +4.5passing-down OFF11th119thpassing-down DEF
run OFF18th112thrun DEF
big-play OFF16th93rdbig-play DEF
pass OFF56th124thpass DEF
standard-down OFF55th123rdstandard-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−4.5 Nebraska vs Illinois +4.5
vs Illinois +4.5Nebraska OFF vs Illinois DEF
run blocking40th99thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed62nd102ndstuffing runs
Nebraska DEF vs Illinois OFF
big-play DEF54th17thbig-play OFF
pass DEF3rd21stpass OFF
run DEF39th52ndrun OFF
standard-down DEF41st35thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF1st19thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front40th27thrun blocking
stuffing runs34th19thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
73.115thPlays per game96th64.4
54%40thPass rate67th52%
61.9126thPlays faced per game93rd64.9
Nebraska
away
2 ATS trends
Nebraska-4.5
ATSAs a fav of more than 3 points, in primetime, in the cold
56.1%
win rate
171-134-2
record
+7.0%
roi
+2.1ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWLWWWLWWLLWWWWLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +7.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +4.7 ppg
since 2013: 171-134-2 (56.1%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
Nebraska-4.5
ATScoolingRhule on the road
60.4%
win rate
32-21-3
record
+15.3%
roi
+2.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWLLWLWLPLLWLWW
last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
last 10: 4-5-1 (44.4%) · avg cover -4.8 ppg
since 2013: 32-21-3 (60.4%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
Illinois
home
1 ATS trend
Illinois+4.5
ATSLate in the season, at home, in the cold
55.8%
win rate
237-188-6
record
+6.5%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWWLWLWWWLWWWWLWW
last 20: 16-4 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +2.8 ppg
since 2013: 237-188-6 (55.8%) · avg cover +1.6 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 49.5
Under
Bret Bielema at home, off a win
72.2%
win rate
13-5-1
record
+37.9%
roi
+4.8ppg
avg under
📈
WLLWWWWPWLLWWWWWWLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +3.9 ppg
since 2013: 13-5-1 (72.2%) · avg under +4.8 ppg
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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