New Mexico at Nevada
New Mexico@
Nevada
New Mexico -12.5 · O/U 43.5
New MexicoFriday 2026-11-06
9:00pm
53°F · wind 4 mph · 💧 0%
NevadaW 21-16 @ San José StateLast weekL 0-27 @ UCLA
vs UNLVNext week@ Northern Illinois
61OFF plays last game61
57DEF plays last game60
Miles flown, last 21 days
8,958 mi125th109th3,285 mi
Exclude New Mexico weeks
Exclude Nevada weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
73rdOffense95th
5thDefense73rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−12.5 New Mexico
vs
Nevada +12.5
vs
Nevada +12.5stuffing runs1st133rdruns not stuffed
run DEF up front5th129thrun blocking
standard-down DEF4th123rdstandard-down OFF
pass DEF25th121stpass OFF
runs not stuffed36th122ndstuffing runs
run DEF3rd73rdrun OFF
big-play DEF113th30thbig-play OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−12.5 New Mexico
vs
Nevada +12.5
vs
Nevada +12.5New Mexico OFF vs Nevada DEF
run blocking56th98thrun DEF up front
passing-down OFF84th47thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF69th34thpass DEF
run OFF60th52ndrun DEF
big-play OFF72nd52ndbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF61st45thstandard-down DEF
New Mexico DEF vs Nevada OFF
passing-down DEF26th54thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
62.7113thPlays per game90th64.7
36%133rdPass rate107th47%
60.4128thPlays faced per game55th68.4
New Mexico
away
1 ATS trend
New Mexico-12.5
ATSEck off a win
66.7%
win rate
10-5
record
+27.3%
roi
+7.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWLWWWLWL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 10-5 (66.7%) · avg cover +7.9 ppg
Nevada
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Nevada+12.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, in a conference game, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks
68.1%
win rate
32-15
record
+30.0%
roi
+3.7ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWLLLLWWWWWWLWLLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
since 2013: 32-15 (68.1%) · avg cover +3.7 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 43.5
Under
Jeff Choate as a dog of more than 10 points
90.0%
win rate
9-1
record
+71.8%
roi
+8.3ppg
avg under
🔥
WWWWWWWWLW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg
since 2013: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
Jason Eck in primetime
80.0%
win rate
8-2
record
+52.7%
roi
+7.7ppg
avg under
📈
WWLLWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +7.7 ppg
since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +7.7 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
With a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, in primetime, with a spread of more than 3 points
57.1%
win rate
97-73-1
record
+8.9%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg under
📈
WWWWWWLWLLLWWWWWWLWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg under +7.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 97-73-1 (57.1%) · avg under +1.9 ppg
- Mackay Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
NFL
betting trends by week and game.
