North Carolina at UConn
North Carolina@
UConn
North Carolina -8.5 · O/U 52.5
North CarolinaSaturday 2026-11-07
12:00pm
63°F · wind 7 mph · 💧 38%
UConnL 35-38 vs MiamiLast weekL 26-35 @ Air Force
vs LouisvilleNext weekvs James Madison
–OFF plays last game57
–DEF plays last game78
Miles flown, last 21 days
532 mi25th110th3,394 mi
Exclude North Carolina weeks
Exclude UConn weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
66thOffense42nd
52ndDefense86th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−8.5 North Carolina vs UConn +8.5
vs UConn +8.5travel532 mi, 21 days25th110thtravel3,394 mi, 21 days
pass OFF39th113thpass DEF
standard-down OFF41st115thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF124th18thbig-play DEF
stuffing runs137th72ndruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−8.5 North Carolina vs UConn +8.5
vs UConn +8.5North Carolina OFF vs UConn DEF
runs not stuffed47th110thstuffing runs
run blocking61st99thrun DEF up front
run OFF63rd89thrun DEF
passing-down OFF65th67thpassing-down DEF
North Carolina DEF vs UConn OFF
passing-down DEF20th72ndpassing-down OFF
run DEF97th41strun OFF
run DEF up front76th30thrun blocking
standard-down DEF85th42ndstandard-down OFF
pass DEF44th60thpass OFF
big-play DEF13th10thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
60.8129thPlays per game98th64.3
54%37thPass rate79th51%
77.05thPlays faced per game13th73.4
North Carolina
away
1 ATS trend
North Carolina-8.5
ATSBelichick off a loss
70.0%
win rate
7-3
record
+33.6%
roi
+3.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWLLWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
UConn
home
1 ATS trend
UConn+8.5
ATSCandle at home, off a loss
75.0%
win rate
12-4
record
+43.2%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLLWWLWWWWWWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +11.6 ppg
since 2013: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 52.5
Over
Jason Candle as a dog of more than 7 points
76.9%
win rate
10-3
record
+46.9%
roi
+8.7ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWLWWWWLWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg over +8.7 ppg
- Pratt & Whitney Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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