Northern Illinois at San José State
Northern Illinois@
San José State
San José State -10 · O/U 52.5
Northern IllinoisSaturday 2026-11-07
4:00pm
78°F · wind 5 mph · 💧 0%
San José StateL 24-31 @ UNLVLast weekL 16-21 vs New Mexico
vs NevadaNext week@ Air Force
75OFF plays last game57
63DEF plays last game61
Miles flown, last 21 days
4,713 mi122nd17th379 mi
Exclude Northern Illinois weeks
Exclude San José State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
118thOffense113th
138thDefense53rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10 Northern Illinois
vs
San José State −10
vs
San José State −10travel4,713 mi, 21 days122nd17thtravel379 mi, 21 days
pass OFF120th44thpass DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+10 Northern Illinois
vs
San José State −10
vs
San José State −10Northern Illinois OFF vs San José State DEF
run OFF79th103rdrun DEF
passing-down OFF96th36thpassing-down DEF
standard-down OFF125th97thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF31st6thbig-play DEF
run blocking41st29thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed102nd98thstuffing runs
Northern Illinois DEF vs San José State OFF
pass DEF136th95thpass OFF
big-play DEF101st68thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF136th107thstandard-down OFF
run DEF136th137thrun OFF
passing-down DEF136th135thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front128th110thrun blocking
stuffing runs113th112thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
63.7103rdPlays per game107th63.4
59%12thPass rate44th53%
67.761stPlays faced per game19th72.5
Northern Illinois
away
1 ATS trend
Northern Illinois+10
ATSfadeFading Niumatalolo as a fav of more than 7 points, off a loss
81.8%
win rate
9-2
record
+56.2%
roi
+9.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWLWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg cover +11.2 ppg
since 2013: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg cover +9.5 ppg
San José State
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
San José State-10
ATSfadeFading road teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, with a total of 50+
63.8%
win rate
74-42-1
record
+21.8%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLWLWWWWLWWWLWLWLWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.4 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +10.7 ppg
since 2013: 74-42-1 (63.8%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 52.5
Over
Ken Niumatalolo as a home fav, off a loss
81.8%
win rate
9-2
record
+56.2%
roi
+7.8ppg
avg over
📈
WWWLWWLWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +6.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-2 (81.8%) · avg over +7.8 ppg
- CEFCU Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
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