Penn State at Washington
Penn State@
Washington
Washington -2.5 · O/U 43.5
Penn StateSaturday 2026-11-07
Kickoff TBD
WashingtonW 31-17 vs PurdueLast weekW 17-10 @ Nebraska
vs MinnesotaNext week@ Michigan State
79OFF plays last game–
45DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,254 mi69th80th1,543 mi
Exclude Penn State weeks
Exclude Washington weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
55thOffense70th
31stDefense39th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+2.5 Penn State vs Washington −2.5
vs Washington −2.5stuffing runs19th118thruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF24th107thpassing-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+2.5 Penn State vs Washington −2.5
vs Washington −2.5Penn State OFF vs Washington DEF
run blocking90th29thrun DEF up front
run OFF105th46thrun DEF
passing-down OFF58th30thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF38th57thpass DEF
big-play OFF67th87thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF72nd58thstandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed8th6thstuffing runs
Penn State DEF vs Washington OFF
run DEF up front48th94thrun blocking
pass DEF4th35thpass OFF
run DEF82nd102ndrun OFF
big-play DEF110th88thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF27th39thstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
70.039thPlays per game75th66.2
52%64thPass rate12th59%
59.1133rdPlays faced per game120th62.8
Penn State
away
2 ATS trends
Penn State+2.5
ATSCampbell as a dog
59.7%
win rate
37-25-1
record
+13.9%
roi
+3.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWPWLLLLWWLWWWWLWLW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.6 ppg
since 2013: 37-25-1 (59.7%) · avg cover +3.3 ppg
Penn State+2.5
ATSfadeFading Fisch off a win
60.5%
win rate
23-15
record
+15.6%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWWWWWLLWLWWLWWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.2 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
since 2013: 23-15 (60.5%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 43.5
Under
Matt Campbell as a dog
70.7%
win rate
29-12
record
+35.0%
roi
+4.5ppg
avg under
🔥
WWWWWWWLWLWWWLLWLWWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg under +3.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +1.3 ppg
since 2013: 29-12 (70.7%) · avg under +4.5 ppg
Under 43.5
Under
Jedd Fisch at home, off a win
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+2.4ppg
avg under
📈
LLWWWWWWLWLWWWWLL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +3.6 ppg
since 2013: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg under +2.4 ppg
- Husky Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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