Rice at North Texas
Rice@
North Texas
North Texas -16.5 · O/U 64.5
RiceSaturday 2026-11-07
4:00pm
78°F · wind 12 mph · 💧 9%
North TexasByeLast weekW 48-41 vs Florida Atlantic
vs TulaneNext week@ UTSA
62OFF plays last game85
81DEF plays last game87
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,184 mi93rd99th2,434 mi
Exclude Rice weeks
Exclude North Texas weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
117thOffense10th
104thDefense83rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+16.5 Rice vs North Texas −16.5
vs North Texas −16.5big-play DEF111th6thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF120th16thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF103rd4thpass OFF
standard-down DEF85th20thstandard-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+16.5 Rice vs North Texas −16.5
vs North Texas −16.5Rice OFF vs North Texas DEF
big-play OFF59th94thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF56th79thstandard-down DEF
run blocking88th25thrun DEF up front
passing-down OFF136th103rdpassing-down DEF
runs not stuffed96th69thstuffing runs
run OFF59th36thrun DEF
pass OFF131st130thpass DEF
Rice DEF vs North Texas OFF
stuffing runs30th76thruns not stuffed
run DEF up front30th70thrun blocking
run DEF94th64thrun OFF
Pace & tendencies
60.9129thPlays per game11th74.3
26%135thPass rate30th55%
70.632ndPlays faced per game28th70.9
Rice
away
1 ATS trend
Rice+16.5
ATSfadeFading Brown as a fav of more than 7 points, off a win
65.2%
win rate
15-8-2
record
+24.5%
roi
+2.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWWWLLLPWLWPWLWLW
last 20: 12-6-2 (66.7%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
last 10: 5-3-2 (62.5%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
since 2013: 15-8-2 (65.2%) · avg cover +2.8 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 64.5
Over
Neal Brown as a fav of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
18-6
record
+43.2%
roi
+3.4ppg
avg over
🔥
WWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWWWW
last 20: 17-3 (85.0%) · avg over +6.2 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +12.0 ppg
since 2013: 18-6 (75.0%) · avg over +3.4 ppg
Under 64.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
- DATCU Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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