TCU at Arizona
TCU@
Arizona
Arizona -8.5 · O/U 44.5
TCUFriday 2026-11-06
10:15pm
71°F · wind 2 mph · 💧 7%
ArizonaW 22-16 vs KansasLast weekL 26-34 @ Texas Tech
vs Kansas StateNext weekvs Utah
57OFF plays last game77
85DEF plays last game73
Miles flown, last 21 days
954 mi50th59th1,069 mi
Exclude TCU weeks
Exclude Arizona weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
104thOffense24th
3rdDefense28th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+8.5 TCU vs Arizona −8.5
vs Arizona −8.5big-play OFF46th115thbig-play DEF
run OFF132nd37thrun DEF
standard-down OFF98th22ndstandard-down DEF
run blocking127th56thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+8.5 TCU vs Arizona −8.5
vs Arizona −8.5TCU OFF vs Arizona DEF
pass OFF77th22ndpass DEF
runs not stuffed110th68thstuffing runs
passing-down OFF108th81stpassing-down DEF
TCU DEF vs Arizona OFF
stuffing runs57th116thruns not stuffed
run DEF5th62ndrun OFF
standard-down DEF9th65thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front36th92ndrun blocking
pass DEF11th16thpass OFF
big-play DEF11th19thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF8th10thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
67.467thPlays per game39th70.0
55%24thPass rate15th58%
66.474thPlays faced per game37th70.0
TCU
away
1 ATS trend
TCU+8.5
ATSfadeFading Brennan as a fav of more than 7 points
65.2%
win rate
15-8-1
record
+24.5%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWWLLWWWWLLLWWWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg
since 2013: 15-8-1 (65.2%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
Arizona
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Arizona-8.5
ATSfadeFading Dykes as a dog of more than 7 points, in primetime
76.2%
win rate
16-5
record
+45.5%
roi
+4.3ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWLWL
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +5.1 ppg
since 2013: 16-5 (76.2%) · avg cover +4.3 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 44.5
Under
Brent Brennan as a home fav of more than 3 points
71.4%
win rate
20-8
record
+36.4%
roi
+4.0ppg
avg under
🔥
WLWWLWWLWWLWWWWWWLWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
since 2013: 20-8 (71.4%) · avg under +4.0 ppg
Under 44.5
Under
Sonny Dykes as a dog of more than 3 points, in primetime
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+7.8ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWLWWLWW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +8.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg under +7.8 ppg
- Arizona Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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