UCF at Kansas
UCF@
Kansas
Kansas -3 · O/U 48.5
UCFSaturday 2026-11-07
3:45pm
64°F · wind 15 mph · 💧 4%
KansasL 9-41 vs BaylorLast weekL 16-22 @ TCU
vs Arizona StateNext week@ West Virginia
68OFF plays last game85
67DEF plays last game57
Miles flown, last 21 days
829 mi42nd75th1,455 mi
Exclude UCF weeks
Exclude Kansas weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
80thOffense72nd
45thDefense50th
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3 UCF vs Kansas −3
vs Kansas −3UCF OFF vs Kansas DEF
run blocking118th59thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed92nd35thstuffing runs
pass OFF86th52ndpass DEF
standard-down OFF90th57thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF48th18thpassing-down DEF
run OFF60th43rdrun DEF
big-play OFF101st89thbig-play DEF
UCF DEF vs Kansas OFF
passing-down DEF58th113thpassing-down OFF
run DEF29th57thrun OFF
stuffing runs79th20thruns not stuffed
pass DEF83rd96thpass OFF
big-play DEF29th11thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF51st45thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front21st42ndrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
65.685thPlays per game11th74.3
55%35thPass rate95th48%
72.021stPlays faced per game79th66.3
UCF
away
1 ATS trend
UCF+3
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.0%
win rate
442-362-25
record
+5.0%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWLLLWLLWLLWLLPLLL
last 20: 4-15-1 (21.1%) · avg cover -8.7 ppg
last 10: 2-7-1 (22.2%) · avg cover -11.8 ppg
since 2013: 442-362-25 (55.0%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 48.5
Under
Late in the season, in wind of 11+ mph
55.5%
win rate
197-158-6
record
+5.9%
roi
+0.2ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWWLWLLWWLWLLLW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +1.4 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg
since 2013: 197-158-6 (55.5%) · avg under +0.2 ppg
Over 48.5
Over
Lance Leipold as a home fav
62.5%
win rate
20-12
record
+19.3%
roi
+2.1ppg
avg over
📈
LWWLWLLWWWLLLLWWWWWL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg over -0.2 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg over -3.0 ppg
since 2013: 20-12 (62.5%) · avg over +2.1 ppg
- Memorial Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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