UL Monroe at Arkansas State
UL Monroe@
Arkansas State
Arkansas State -14.5 · O/U 51.5
UL MonroeSaturday 2026-11-07
3:00pm
68°F · wind 7 mph · 💧 3%
Arkansas StateL 21-35 vs Southern MissLast weekBye
vs LouisianaNext week@ Coastal Carolina
80OFF plays last game68
72DEF plays last game61
Miles flown, last 21 days
965 mi51st1st0 mi
Exclude UL Monroe weeks
Exclude Arkansas State weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
131stOffense58th
123rdDefense115th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+14.5 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State −14.5
vs Arkansas State −14.5standard-down DEF107th28thstandard-down OFF
big-play OFF130th62ndbig-play DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+14.5 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State −14.5
vs Arkansas State −14.5UL Monroe OFF vs Arkansas State DEF
runs not stuffed76th126thstuffing runs
run blocking96th130thrun DEF up front
passing-down OFF130th76thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF111th116thpass DEF
run OFF127th128thrun DEF
standard-down OFF109th131ststandard-down DEF
UL Monroe DEF vs Arkansas State OFF
big-play DEF61st106thbig-play OFF
run DEF120th61strun OFF
pass DEF86th29thpass OFF
stuffing runs134th85thruns not stuffed
passing-down DEF112th87thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front117th97thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
65.686thPlays per game99th64.0
52%68thPass rate53rd53%
72.615thPlays faced per game105th64.0
Arkansas State
home
3 ATS trends
Arkansas State-14.5
ATSfadeFading Vincent as a dog
69.0%
win rate
20-9
record
+31.7%
roi
+4.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWWWWWLLWLWWWLW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +7.9 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +3.6 ppg
since 2013: 20-9 (69.0%) · avg cover +4.7 ppg
Arkansas State-14.5
ATSAt home, off a win, off a bye
56.1%
win rate
310-243-14
record
+7.0%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWWLLPWWWWLWLWWWW
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.7 ppg
since 2013: 310-243-14 (56.1%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
Arkansas State-14.5
ATSJones as a fav, off a win
66.7%
win rate
14-7
record
+27.3%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWLLWWWWLWWWWLLLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover -2.5 ppg
since 2013: 14-7 (66.7%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Over 51.5
Over
Bryant Vincent as a road dog of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+8.2ppg
avg over
📈
WLWWWWWLWWWL
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +9.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg over +8.2 ppg
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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