West Virginia at Texas Tech
West Virginia@
Texas Tech
Texas Tech -16.5 · O/U 63.5
West VirginiaSaturday 2026-11-07
9:30pm
61°F · wind 2 mph · 💧 19%
Texas TechByeLast weekW 34-26 vs Arizona
vs KansasNext week@ Oklahoma State
61OFF plays last game73
82DEF plays last game77
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,443 mi111th89th2,073 mi
Exclude West Virginia weeks
Exclude Texas Tech weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
41stOffense56th
130thDefense18th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+16.5 West Virginia
vs
Texas Tech −16.5
vs
Texas Tech −16.5big-play OFF33rd112thbig-play DEF
passing-down DEF130th30thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF137th49thpass OFF
standard-down DEF123rd43rdstandard-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+16.5 West Virginia
vs
Texas Tech −16.5
vs
Texas Tech −16.5West Virginia OFF vs Texas Tech DEF
run blocking67th14thrun DEF up front
standard-down OFF70th23rdstandard-down DEF
pass OFF79th38thpass DEF
runs not stuffed48th16thstuffing runs
run OFF44th14thrun DEF
passing-down OFF37th17thpassing-down DEF
West Virginia DEF vs Texas Tech OFF
stuffing runs34th68thruns not stuffed
run DEF77th19thrun OFF
run DEF up front65th23rdrun blocking
big-play DEF122nd115thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
77.75thPlays per game47th69.1
32%134thPass rate100th48%
70.037thPlays faced per game9th73.9
Texas Tech
home
2 ATS trends
Texas Tech-16.5
ATSMcGuire as a home fav of more than 10 points
78.6%
win rate
11-3
record
+50.0%
roi
+4.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +4.0 ppg
since 2013: 11-3 (78.6%) · avg cover +4.1 ppg
Texas Tech-16.5
ATSfadeFading Rodriguez as a dog of more than 3 points, off a win, in primetime
72.7%
win rate
8-3-1
record
+38.8%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWWLWWPWL
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
since 2013: 8-3-1 (72.7%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 63.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
57.9%
win rate
256-186-5
record
+10.6%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg under
🔥
LLWWWLWLWWWLWLWLWWLW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +5.7 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +4.3 ppg
since 2013: 256-186-5 (57.9%) · avg under +1.9 ppg
Over 63.5
Over
Joey McGuire at home
71.9%
win rate
23-9
record
+37.2%
roi
+6.0ppg
avg over
🔥
LWWLWWWWWWLWLLWLWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +0.0 ppg
since 2013: 23-9 (71.9%) · avg over +6.0 ppg
Over 63.5
Over
Rich Rodriguez in primetime
67.7%
win rate
21-10
record
+29.3%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg over
📈
WWLWLWWLLWWWWWLLWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +7.3 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +11.6 ppg
since 2013: 21-10 (67.7%) · avg over +7.3 ppg
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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