Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky@
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee -1.5 · O/U 52.5
Western KentuckySaturday 2026-11-07
3:30pm
63°F · wind 8 mph · 💧 1%
Middle TennesseeL 21-35 vs DelawareLast weekL 28-44 vs Kennesaw State
vs Jacksonville StateNext week@ Liberty
79OFF plays last game92
67DEF plays last game48
Miles flown, last 21 days
78 mi6th81st1,565 mi
Exclude Western Kentucky weeks
Exclude Middle Tennessee weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
130thOffense102nd
118thDefense101st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+1.5 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee −1.5
vs Middle Tennessee −1.5travel78 mi, 21 days6th81sttravel1,565 mi, 21 days
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+1.5 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee −1.5
vs Middle Tennessee −1.5Western Kentucky OFF vs Middle Tennessee DEF
run blocking99th136thrun DEF up front
run OFF91st123rdrun DEF
passing-down OFF111th52ndpassing-down DEF
big-play OFF92nd38thbig-play DEF
pass OFF132nd90thpass DEF
standard-down OFF127th125thstandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed103rd115thstuffing runs
Western Kentucky DEF vs Middle Tennessee OFF
pass DEF80th115thpass OFF
standard-down DEF89th112thstandard-down OFF
big-play DEF135th80thbig-play OFF
run DEF up front102nd70thrun blocking
run DEF112th85thrun OFF
passing-down DEF108th85thpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs80th91struns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
75.17thPlays per game80th65.9
55%29thPass rate26th55%
63.0118thPlays faced per game103rd64.1
Western Kentucky
away
3 ATS trends
Western Kentucky+1.5
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss, with a total of 50+
56.9%
win rate
209-158-14
record
+8.7%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLLLWPWLWWWWLLLLWWL
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover -0.0 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
since 2013: 209-158-14 (56.9%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
Western Kentucky+1.5
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.0%
win rate
442-362-25
record
+5.0%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LLLWLLLWLLWLLWLLPLLL
last 20: 4-15-1 (21.1%) · avg cover -8.7 ppg
last 10: 2-7-1 (22.2%) · avg cover -11.8 ppg
since 2013: 442-362-25 (55.0%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
Western Kentucky+1.5
ATSHelton as a dog of 3 points or fewer
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+9.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWLWWLW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +11.3 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg cover +9.4 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 52.5
Under
Derek Mason as a home fav
81.3%
win rate
13-3
record
+55.1%
roi
+4.3ppg
avg under
🔥
WWLWWWWWWWWLWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +3.5 ppg
since 2013: 13-3 (81.3%) · avg under +4.3 ppg
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 10 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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