Oregon at USC

Final — Oregon 41, USC 27This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

20Oregon@12USC Oregon -3.5 · O/U 60.5

20Oregon

Saturday 2026-09-26

7:30pm

74°F · wind 6 mph · 💧 0%

12USC

20Oregon away 2 ATS trends

Oregon-3.5 ATS

Lanning as a fav

64.7%

win rate

33-18

record

+23.5%

roi

+4.4ppg

avg cover

📈

LLWWWWLWLWLLWWWLLLWW

last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -2.8 ppg since 2013: 33-18 (64.7%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg

Oregon-3.5 ATSfade

Fading early-season teams, on 4,500+ miles of travel in three weeks, with a total of 50+

61.4%

win rate

27-17-1

record

+17.1%

roi

+3.5ppg

avg cover

📈

LWWLWLWWWWWLWWWLWLWW

last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.7 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +7.6 ppg since 2013: 27-17-1 (61.4%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg

12USC home 2 ATS trends · 1 🔥

USC+3.5 ATS

At home in a ranked-vs-ranked game, spread under 10

57.9%

win rate

220-160-11

record

+10.5%

roi

+1.7ppg

avg cover

🔥

LWWWLLLWLLLLWWWWWWLL

last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover +0.5 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +4.2 ppg since 2013: 220-160-11 (57.9%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg

USC+3.5 ATS

Riley as a dog of more than 3 points, in primetime

81.8%

win rate

9-2-1

record

+56.2%

roi

+8.3ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWPWLWWWWWL

last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +7.4 ppg since 2013: 9-2-1 (81.8%) · avg cover +8.3 ppg

Over / Under

3 trends

Over 60.5 Over

Lincoln Riley as a dog, off a win

85.7%

win rate

12-2

record

+63.6%

roi

+14.2ppg

avg over

🔥

LWWWWWWWWWWLWW

last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +13.8 ppg since 2013: 12-2 (85.7%) · avg over +14.2 ppg

Under 60.5 Under

Early in the season, with a team on 4,500+ miles of travel, with a total of 50+

63.6%

win rate

28-16

record

+21.5%

roi

+3.4ppg

avg under

📈

WLLLWWWWLWWLWLWWWLWL

last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +2.0 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +5.5 ppg since 2013: 28-16 (63.6%) · avg under +3.4 ppg

Under 60.5 Undercooling

Teams as a home dog of more than 3 points, off a win, in primetime

56.5%

win rate

153-118-2

record

+7.8%

roi

+1.7ppg

avg under

📈

WLLLLWLLWLLLLWWLWLLL

last 20: 6-14 (30.0%) · avg under -2.8 ppg last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg under -0.8 ppg since 2013: 153-118-2 (56.5%) · avg under +1.7 ppg

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 4 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.