Alabama at Mississippi State

Records, streaks and rest for this week are calculated from games played so far, so they will be out of date until the weeks before it are played.

Alabama@Mississippi State Alabama -3.5 · O/U 59.5

Alabama

Saturday 2026-10-03

Kickoff TBD

Mississippi State

Alabama away 1 ATS trend

Alabama-3.5 ATScooling

As a road fav of more than 3 points, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks

56.1%

win rate

354-277-12

record

+7.1%

roi

+2.4ppg

avg cover

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last 20: 13-4-3 (76.5%) · avg cover +3.5 ppg last 10: 7-1-2 (87.5%) · avg cover +8.7 ppg since 2013: 354-277-12 (56.1%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg

Mississippi State home 1 ATS trend

Mississippi State+3.5 ATS

Lebby off a win

80.0%

win rate

8-2

record

+52.7%

roi

+6.9ppg

avg cover

📈

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last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.9 ppg since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +6.9 ppg

Over / Under

1 trend

Over 59.5 Over

Jeff Lebby at home

75.0%

win rate

12-4

record

+43.2%

roi

+6.8ppg

avg over

📈

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last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.5 ppg since 2013: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg over +6.8 ppg

Davis Wade Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 5 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.