Boston College at SMU
Final — Boston College 16, SMU 25This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Boston College@
21SMU
SMU -21.5 · O/U 55.5
Boston CollegeSaturday 2026-10-03
12:00pm
21SMUL 14-21 vs Virginia TechLast weekW 34-24 vs Missouri State
ByeNext weekBye
64OFF plays last game78
77DEF plays last game63
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,540 mi78th74th1,443 mi
Exclude Boston College weeks
Exclude SMU weeks
Stats from games played through week 4
EPA rank · adjusted
115thOffense60th
29thDefense71st
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+21.5 Boston College vs SMU −21.5
vs SMU −21.5pass OFF122nd23rdpass DEF
passing-down OFF106th26thpassing-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-126, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 20 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+21.5 Boston College vs SMU −21.5
vs SMU −21.5Boston College OFF vs SMU DEF
big-play OFF66th96thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF104th62ndstandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed103rd66thstuffing runs
run blocking67th40thrun DEF up front
run OFF66th81strun DEF
Boston College DEF vs SMU OFF
big-play DEF51st102ndbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF72nd22ndpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front97th55thrun blocking
pass DEF39th13thpass OFF
run DEF51st47thrun OFF
standard-down DEF25th33rdstandard-down OFF
stuffing runs62nd45thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
67.059thPlays per game10th75.7
49%73rdPass rate66th51%
69.045thPlays faced per game85th63.7
Boston College
away
1 ATS trend
Boston College+21.5
ATSO'Brien as a dog of more than 10 points
75.0%
win rate
9-3
record
+43.2%
roi
+5.7ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWLWWLWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
since 2013: 9-3 (75.0%) · avg cover +5.7 ppg
21SMU
home
1 ATS trend
SMU-21.5
ATSLashlee at home, off a win
68.8%
win rate
11-5
record
+31.3%
roi
+7.3ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWLWWLWLWWWL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 11-5 (68.8%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 55.5
Over
Bill O'Brien as a dog, off a loss
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWLWWLWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg over +1.4 ppg
Under 55.5
Under
Rhett Lashlee as a fav of more than 10 points
62.1%
win rate
18-11
record
+18.5%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWWWLLWWWWWWLLLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +2.6 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.9 ppg
since 2013: 18-11 (62.1%) · avg under +1.6 ppg
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 5 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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