Bowling Green at Miami (OH)

Final — Bowling Green 24, Miami (OH) 20This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Bowling Green@Miami (OH) Miami (OH) -12 · O/U 43

Bowling Green

Saturday 2026-10-03

3:30pm

Miami (OH)

L 6-14 vs South FloridaLast weekW 24-21 vs UConn

vs Sacramento StateNext week@ Massachusetts

63OFF plays last game62

53DEF plays last game60

Miles flown, last 21 days

1,177 mi62nd8th61 mi

Stats from games played through week 4

EPA rank · adjusted

118thOffense41st

97thDefense95th

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

+12 Bowling Green

Miami (OH) −12

big-play DEF87th1stbig-play OFF

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-126, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 20 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

+12 Bowling Green

Miami (OH) −12

Bowling Green OFF vs Miami (OH) DEF

runs not stuffed113th56thstuffing runs

passing-down OFF113th70thpassing-down DEF

run blocking116th75thrun DEF up front

run OFF118th88thrun DEF

pass OFF120th97thpass DEF

big-play OFF109th113thbig-play DEF

standard-down OFF112th106thstandard-down DEF

Bowling Green DEF vs Miami (OH) OFF

pass DEF70th23rdpass OFF

standard-down DEF122nd77thstandard-down OFF

run DEF126th111thrun OFF

passing-down DEF52nd62ndpassing-down OFF

run DEF up front116th109thrun blocking

stuffing runs81st89thruns not stuffed

Pace & tendencies

55.3123rdPlays per game112th59.7

52%59thPass rate15th59%

61.0101stPlays faced per game35th71.3

Miami (OH) home 1 ATS trend

Miami (OH)-12 ATS

Martin as a home fav of more than 7 points, off a win

78.6%

win rate

11-3

record

+50.0%

roi

+5.1ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWLWWWWWWLWWL

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg since 2013: 11-3 (78.6%) · avg cover +5.1 ppg

Over / Under

2 trends

Over 43 Over

Eddie George as a dog

70.0%

win rate

7-3

record

+33.6%

roi

+1.3ppg

avg over

📈

WLWWWLWWLW

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +1.3 ppg since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +1.3 ppg

Under 43 Undercooling

Chuck Martin as a fav of more than 7 points

64.5%

win rate

20-11

record

+23.2%

roi

+3.0ppg

avg under

📈

LWWWLWWLWWWLWWWWLLLL

last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +1.5 ppg last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under -2.5 ppg since 2013: 20-11 (64.5%) · avg under +3.0 ppg

Yager Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 5 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.