Fresno State at Washington State
Final — Fresno State 26, Washington State 6This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Fresno State@
Washington State
Washington State -2.5 · O/U 44.5
Fresno StateSaturday 2026-10-03
9:30pm
Washington StateW 38-24 vs RiceLast weekL 24-34 vs Arizona
vs Boise StateNext week@ Utah State
70OFF plays last game71
64DEF plays last game76
Miles flown, last 21 days
941 mi55th1st0 mi
Exclude Fresno State weeks
Exclude Washington State weeks
Stats from games played through week 4
EPA rank · adjusted
76thOffense121st
43rdDefense54th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+2.5 Fresno State vs Washington State −2.5
vs Washington State −2.5passing-down DEF31st112thpassing-down OFF
big-play OFF14th76thbig-play DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-126, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 20 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+2.5 Fresno State vs Washington State −2.5
vs Washington State −2.5Fresno State OFF vs Washington State DEF
pass OFF35th66thpass DEF
passing-down OFF49th75thpassing-down DEF
standard-down OFF116th71ststandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed123rd82ndstuffing runs
run OFF114th89thrun DEF
run blocking112th87thrun DEF up front
Fresno State DEF vs Washington State OFF
big-play DEF29th79thbig-play OFF
run DEF72nd121strun OFF
stuffing runs55th101struns not stuffed
pass DEF77th121stpass OFF
standard-down DEF88th123rdstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front67th89thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
62.3100thPlays per game111th60.0
50%67thPass rate39th55%
67.561stPlays faced per game27th72.0
Fresno State
away
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Fresno State+2.5
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks
59.7%
win rate
123-83-8
record
+14.0%
roi
+2.7ppg
avg cover
🔥
WLLLLWLLWWWWWWLWLLPW
last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +5.8 ppg
since 2013: 123-83-8 (59.7%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
Fresno State+2.5
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.7%
win rate
433-345-24
record
+6.3%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWPWLWLLLLWWPWWLLWW
last 20: 9-9-2 (50.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +6.5 ppg
since 2013: 433-345-24 (55.7%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 44.5
Under
Teams as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
56.5%
win rate
166-128-6
record
+7.8%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWLLWWWLWWLWWLL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +0.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.3 ppg
since 2013: 166-128-6 (56.5%) · avg under +1.6 ppg
- Gesa Field
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 5 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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