North Texas at Tulsa

Final — North Texas 45, Tulsa 44This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

North Texas@Tulsa North Texas -1 · O/U 57

North Texas

Thursday 2026-10-01

9:00pm

Tulsa

W 63-14 vs Houston ChristianLast weekL 6-34 @ Arkansas

vs CharlotteNext week@ Navy

–OFF plays last game55

–DEF plays last game80

Miles flown, last 21 days

681 mi38th56th950 mi

Stats from games played through week 4

EPA rank · adjusted

26thOffense80th

106thDefense33rd

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

−1 North Texas

Tulsa +1

stuffing runs87th18thruns not stuffed

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-126, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 20 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

−1 North Texas

Tulsa +1

North Texas OFF vs Tulsa DEF

passing-down OFF24th78thpassing-down DEF

runs not stuffed29th65thstuffing runs

pass OFF18th46thpass DEF

run OFF62nd39thrun DEF

big-play OFF26th13thbig-play DEF

standard-down OFF37th20thstandard-down DEF

run blocking45th42ndrun DEF up front

North Texas DEF vs Tulsa OFF

run DEF up front23rd74thrun blocking

big-play DEF44th88thbig-play OFF

run DEF59th89thrun OFF

standard-down DEF94th49thstandard-down OFF

pass DEF125th107thpass OFF

passing-down DEF117th124thpassing-down OFF

Pace & tendencies

74.711thPlays per game97th62.3

57%27thPass rate60th52%

63.386thPlays faced per game9th77.7

Tulsa home 1 ATS trend

Tulsa+1 ATS

As a home dog of 3 points or fewer, with a total of 50+

57.2%

win rate

211-158-19

record

+9.2%

roi

+1.9ppg

avg cover

📈

LWLLWLPLWWLWLLLLPWLW

last 20: 7-11-2 (38.9%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg last 10: 3-6-1 (33.3%) · avg cover -2.2 ppg since 2013: 211-158-19 (57.2%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg

Over / Under

2 trends

Over 57 Over

Neal Brown as a road fav, off a win

76.9%

win rate

10-3

record

+46.9%

roi

+6.5ppg

avg over

📈

LWWLWWWWLWWWW

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +8.4 ppg since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg over +6.5 ppg

Under 57 Under

Tre Lamb in primetime

70.0%

win rate

7-3

record

+33.6%

roi

+4.0ppg

avg under

📈

WWLWWLWWWL

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.0 ppg

Chapman Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 5 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.