Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Final — Pittsburgh 35, Virginia Tech 33This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Pittsburgh@
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -1.5 · O/U 53.5
PittsburghFriday 2026-10-02
7:00pm
Virginia TechW 59-0 vs BucknellLast weekW 21-14 @ Boston College
vs North CarolinaNext week@ California
–OFF plays last game77
–DEF plays last game64
Miles flown, last 21 days
224 mi12th82nd1,659 mi
Exclude Pittsburgh weeks
Exclude Virginia Tech weeks
Stats from games played through week 4
EPA rank · adjusted
44thOffense31st
15thDefense87th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+1.5 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech −1.5
vs Virginia Tech −1.5stuffing runs13th119thruns not stuffed
run DEF up front4th93rdrun blocking
travel224 mi, 21 days12th82ndtravel1,659 mi, 21 days
standard-down DEF13th73rdstandard-down OFF
runs not stuffed78th8thstuffing runs
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-126, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 20 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+1.5 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech −1.5
vs Virginia Tech −1.5Pittsburgh OFF vs Virginia Tech DEF
standard-down OFF56th112thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF49th89thbig-play DEF
run OFF31st55thrun DEF
run blocking30th2ndrun DEF up front
pass OFF59th79thpass DEF
passing-down OFF32nd20thpassing-down DEF
Pittsburgh DEF vs Virginia Tech OFF
big-play DEF102nd51stbig-play OFF
pass DEF10th30thpass OFF
run DEF29th37thrun OFF
passing-down DEF17th4thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
69.736thPlays per game4th80.7
49%78thPass rate43rd54%
62.097thPlays faced per game111th59.7
Pittsburgh
away
2 ATS trends
Pittsburgh+1.5
ATSAs a dog of 3 points or fewer, in a conference game, with a total of 50+
55.6%
win rate
367-293-26
record
+6.2%
roi
+2.1ppg
avg cover
📈
PLWWLLWLLPLWWPWWLLWW
last 20: 9-8-3 (52.9%) · avg cover -0.8 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
since 2013: 367-293-26 (55.6%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
Pittsburgh+1.5
ATSNarduzzi on the road, off a win
63.6%
win rate
21-12-2
record
+21.5%
roi
+3.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWWWWLWWLLLWLLWWWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -0.5 ppg
since 2013: 21-12-2 (63.6%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
Virginia Tech
home
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Virginia Tech-1.5
ATSFranklin in primetime
69.6%
win rate
32-14
record
+32.8%
roi
+6.7ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWWWWWWLWWLWLLWWWWL
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg cover +6.5 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +4.2 ppg
since 2013: 32-14 (69.6%) · avg cover +6.7 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 53.5
Under
Teams as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
56.5%
win rate
166-128-6
record
+7.8%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWLLWWWLWWLWWLL
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +0.4 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -1.3 ppg
since 2013: 166-128-6 (56.5%) · avg under +1.6 ppg
Over 53.5
Over
James Franklin as a fav, off a win
58.8%
win rate
40-28
record
+12.3%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg over
📈
WLLLWLWWWLWLWWWWWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +1.4 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +4.0 ppg
since 2013: 40-28 (58.8%) · avg over +0.8 ppg
- Lane Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
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