Ball State at Northwestern

Final — Ball State 14, Northwestern 45This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Ball State@Northwestern Northwestern -35 · O/U 53

Ball State

Saturday 2026-10-10

12:30pm

Northwestern

L 24-39 vs ToledoLast weekW 34-13 vs Penn State

@ Bowling GreenNext week@ Michigan State

61OFF plays last game70

87DEF plays last game65

Miles flown, last 21 days

623 mi32nd23rd417 mi

Stats from games played through week 5

EPA rank · adjusted

104thOffense14th

133rdDefense52nd

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

+35 Ball State

Northwestern −35

pass DEF119th10thpass OFF

passing-down DEF118th10thpassing-down OFF

standard-down DEF107th9thstandard-down OFF

passing-down OFF114th18thpassing-down DEF

run DEF97th14thrun OFF

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

+35 Ball State

Northwestern −35

Ball State OFF vs Northwestern DEF

runs not stuffed109th57thstuffing runs

pass OFF97th48thpass DEF

run OFF125th99thrun DEF

standard-down OFF123rd100thstandard-down DEF

big-play OFF19th38thbig-play DEF

run blocking117th108thrun DEF up front

Ball State DEF vs Northwestern OFF

run DEF up front102nd41strun blocking

stuffing runs91st37thruns not stuffed

big-play DEF132nd88thbig-play OFF

Pace & tendencies

59.3124thPlays per game54th67.7

57%28thPass rate127th41%

73.022ndPlays faced per game80th65.7

Ball State away 1 ATS trend · 1 🔥

Ball State+35 ATS

Uremovich off a loss

83.3%

win rate

10-2

record

+59.1%

roi

+4.7ppg

avg cover

🔥

WWWWWWLWLWWW

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +5.0 ppg since 2013: 10-2 (83.3%) · avg cover +4.7 ppg

Northwestern home 1 ATS trend

Northwestern-35 ATS

Braun at home

73.3%

win rate

11-4

record

+40.0%

roi

+9.8ppg

avg cover

📈

WWLLWWWWLWWWWWL

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +10.5 ppg since 2013: 11-4 (73.3%) · avg cover +9.8 ppg

Over / Under

2 trends

Over 53 Over

Mike Uremovich as a dog of more than 10 points

70.0%

win rate

7-3

record

+33.6%

roi

+2.3ppg

avg over

📈

LLWLWWWWWW

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.3 ppg since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.3 ppg

Over 53 Over

David Braun at home

66.7%

win rate

10-5

record

+27.3%

roi

+0.5ppg

avg over

📈

WWWLWLWLLWLWWWW

last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over -4.0 ppg since 2013: 10-5 (66.7%) · avg over +0.5 ppg

Ryan Field
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.