Duke at Georgia Tech

Final — Duke 25, Georgia Tech 28This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Duke@Georgia Tech Duke -4.5 · O/U 45

Duke

Saturday 2026-10-10

3:30pm

Georgia Tech

ByeLast weekBye

vs North CarolinaNext week@ Virginia Tech

–OFF plays last game71

–DEF plays last game73

Miles flown, last 21 days

345 mi18th108th4,245 mi

Stats from games played through week 5

EPA rank · adjusted

62ndOffense75th

22ndDefense110th

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

−4.5 Duke

Georgia Tech +4.5

travel345 mi, 21 days18th108thtravel4,245 mi, 21 days

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

−4.5 Duke

Georgia Tech +4.5

Duke OFF vs Georgia Tech DEF

big-play OFF59th116thbig-play DEF

passing-down OFF78th116thpassing-down DEF

pass OFF70th87thpass DEF

run OFF76th88thrun DEF

standard-down OFF72nd61ststandard-down DEF

run blocking69th55thrun DEF up front

runs not stuffed103rd81ststuffing runs

Duke DEF vs Georgia Tech OFF

big-play DEF7th62ndbig-play OFF

passing-down DEF4th58thpassing-down OFF

pass DEF51st79thpass OFF

run DEF up front78th47thrun blocking

stuffing runs118th95thruns not stuffed

run DEF36th50thrun OFF

standard-down DEF89th68thstandard-down OFF

Pace & tendencies

69.038thPlays per game84th65.7

38%131stPass rate27th57%

61.7112thPlays faced per game22nd73.0

Duke away 2 ATS trends

Duke-4.5 ATS

Diaz on the road, off a win

64.7%

win rate

11-6-1

record

+23.5%

roi

+5.9ppg

avg cover

📈

WLWLLWWWLWWPWWWLWL

last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg since 2013: 11-6-1 (64.7%) · avg cover +5.9 ppg

Duke-4.5 ATScooling

As a road fav of more than 3 points, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks

55.9%

win rate

359-283-12

record

+6.8%

roi

+2.4ppg

avg cover

📈

PWLWWWWWPWWLWLLLLLWW

last 20: 11-7-2 (61.1%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -2.5 ppg since 2013: 359-283-12 (55.9%) · avg cover +2.4 ppg

Georgia Tech home 1 ATS trend

Georgia Tech+4.5 ATS

Key as a dog, off a loss

70.0%

win rate

7-3

record

+33.6%

roi

+9.1ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWWLWWLLW

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +9.1 ppg since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +9.1 ppg

Over / Under

1 trend

Under 45 Under

Brent Key as a dog, off a loss

70.0%

win rate

7-3

record

+33.6%

roi

+8.3ppg

avg under

📈

WWLWWWWWLL

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg since 2013: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +8.3 ppg

Bobby Dodd Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.