Georgia at Alabama
Final — Georgia 20, Alabama 17This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
2Georgia@
6Alabama
Alabama -2.5 · O/U 51.5
2GeorgiaSaturday 2026-10-10
7:30pm
6AlabamaW 38-14 vs VanderbiltLast weekW 56-23 @ Mississippi State
vs AuburnNext week@ Tennessee
69OFF plays last game63
50DEF plays last game71
Miles flown, last 21 days
246 mi11th8th148 mi
Exclude Georgia weeks
Exclude Alabama weeks
Stats from games played through week 5
EPA rank · adjusted
7thOffense1st
18thDefense1st
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+2.5 Georgia
vs
Alabama −2.5
vs
Alabama −2.5Georgia OFF vs Alabama DEF
pass OFF7th15thpass DEF
run OFF7th1strun DEF
big-play OFF111th126thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF5th6thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF19th7thpassing-down DEF
run blocking3rd1strun DEF up front
runs not stuffed2nd3rdstuffing runs
Georgia DEF vs Alabama OFF
big-play DEF85th21stbig-play OFF
pass DEF62nd8thpass OFF
run DEF2nd3rdrun OFF
standard-down DEF12th4thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF28th20thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front15th24thrun blocking
stuffing runs77th56thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
62.5108thPlays per game81st66.0
50%82ndPass rate91st49%
64.389thPlays faced per game92nd64.0
2Georgia
away
2 ATS trends
Georgia+2.5
ATSAs a dog of 3 points or fewer, in a conference game, with a total of 50+
55.5%
win rate
371-298-26
record
+5.9%
roi
+2.0ppg
avg cover
📈
PLWWPWWLLWWWWLWLWLLL
last 20: 10-8-2 (55.6%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
since 2013: 371-298-26 (55.5%) · avg cover +2.0 ppg
Georgia+2.5
ATSSmart on the road
60.5%
win rate
26-17
record
+15.4%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWLLLWLLLWLLWWWW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover -0.9 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -2.5 ppg
since 2013: 26-17 (60.5%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
6Alabama
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Alabama-2.5
ATSAs a fav, at home in a ranked-vs-ranked game, spread under 10
61.9%
win rate
140-86-5
record
+18.3%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWLLLWWLLLLLWWWWLLWL
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg cover +0.6 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover +5.6 ppg
since 2013: 140-86-5 (61.9%) · avg cover +2.5 ppg
Alabama-2.5
ATSDeBoer at home
61.5%
win rate
24-15-1
record
+17.5%
roi
+3.4ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWLWLWWWWWWWWLWWLWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
since 2013: 24-15-1 (61.5%) · avg cover +3.4 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 51.5
Under
Teams as a home fav of 3 points or fewer, in primetime
56.0%
win rate
168-132-6
record
+6.9%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg under
📈
WLLWWWLWWLWWLLLWLLLW
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg under -3.0 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg under -5.7 ppg
since 2013: 168-132-6 (56.0%) · avg under +1.5 ppg
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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