Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Final — Missouri State 13, Western Kentucky 34This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Missouri State@Western Kentucky Missouri State -1.5 · O/U 56.5 Share

Missouri State

Thursday 2026-10-08

7:00pm

Western Kentucky

ByeLast weekL 13-34 @ New Mexico State

vs Kennesaw StateNext week@ Sam Houston

63OFF plays last game75

78DEF plays last game61

Miles flown, last 21 days

1,097 mi57th96th2,694 mi

Stats from games played through week 5

EPA rank · adjusted

113thOffense138th

118thDefense129th

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

−1.5 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky +1.5

big-play DEF8th110thbig-play OFF

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

−1.5 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky +1.5

Missouri State OFF vs Western Kentucky DEF

runs not stuffed75th129thstuffing runs

run blocking78th128thrun DEF up front

big-play OFF105th138thbig-play DEF

run OFF92nd117thrun DEF

pass OFF114th105thpass DEF

standard-down OFF88th109thstandard-down DEF

passing-down OFF125th122ndpassing-down DEF

Missouri State DEF vs Western Kentucky OFF

pass DEF132nd134thpass OFF

run DEF106th122ndrun OFF

standard-down DEF135th136thstandard-down OFF

passing-down DEF110th105thpassing-down OFF

run DEF up front113th135thrun blocking

stuffing runs116th135thruns not stuffed

Pace & tendencies

56.0136thPlays per game20th73.5

55%36thPass rate15th58%

80.01stPlays faced per game102nd62.5

Western Kentucky home 2 ATS trends

Western Kentucky+1.5 ATSfade

Fading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss

55.6%

win rate

439-351-24

record

+6.1%

roi

+1.8ppg

avg cover

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WPWWLLWWWWWLWWLLLLWL

last 20: 11-8-1 (57.9%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -2.6 ppg since 2013: 439-351-24 (55.6%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg

Western Kentucky+1.5 ATS

Helton at home, off a loss, in primetime

80.0%

win rate

8-2

record

+52.7%

roi

+7.0ppg

avg cover

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WWLWLWWWWW

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg since 2013: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.0 ppg

• Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
• Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.