Nevada at UTEP
Final — Nevada 30, UTEP 13This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Nevada@
UTEP
Nevada -10 · O/U 48.5
NevadaSaturday 2026-10-10
7:00pm
UTEPByeLast weekL 7-61 @ New Mexico
@ North Dakota StateNext weekvs San José State
67OFF plays last game54
86DEF plays last game67
Miles flown, last 21 days
919 mi46th27th455 mi
Exclude Nevada weeks
Exclude UTEP weeks
Stats from games played through week 5
EPA rank · adjusted
54thOffense135th
101stDefense136th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−10 Nevada vs UTEP +10
vs UTEP +10run OFF26th113thrun DEF
passing-down OFF42nd124thpassing-down DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−10 Nevada vs UTEP +10
vs UTEP +10Nevada OFF vs UTEP DEF
standard-down OFF87th137thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF25th71stbig-play DEF
run blocking67th105thrun DEF up front
pass OFF111th138thpass DEF
runs not stuffed101st84thstuffing runs
Nevada DEF vs UTEP OFF
big-play DEF46th102ndbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF81st137thpassing-down OFF
pass DEF89th130thpass OFF
run DEF87th120thrun OFF
standard-down DEF81st97thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front116th123rdrun blocking
stuffing runs121st126thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
61.3113thPlays per game135th56.3
46%100thPass rate115th43%
79.73rdPlays faced per game89th64.3
Nevada
away
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Nevada-10
ATSfadeFading Walden as a dog
77.3%
win rate
17-5
record
+47.5%
roi
+5.2ppg
avg cover
🔥
WWWLLWLWLWWWWWWWWWWW
last 20: 16-4 (80.0%) · avg cover +5.7 ppg
last 10: 10-0 (100.0%) · avg cover +10.7 ppg
since 2013: 17-5 (77.3%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg
UTEP
home
1 ATS trend
UTEP+10
ATSAgainst a team off a bye, on under 500 miles of travel in three weeks, in primetime
57.0%
win rate
90-68-3
record
+8.7%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg cover
📈
PWWLWLWLLLWWWLWWWWLW
last 20: 12-7-1 (63.2%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.5 ppg
since 2013: 90-68-3 (57.0%) · avg cover +1.6 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 48.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
57.9%
win rate
246-179-5
record
+10.5%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg under
🔥
WWLWLLLWWLLWWLWWWLWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +3.7 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +7.2 ppg
since 2013: 246-179-5 (57.9%) · avg under +1.7 ppg
Under 48.5
Under
Jeff Choate on the road, off a loss
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+3.0ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWWWWLWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +4.2 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg under +3.0 ppg
- Sun Bowl
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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