North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Final — North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

North Carolina@25Pittsburgh Pittsburgh -3.5 · O/U 47.5

North Carolina

Saturday 2026-10-10

12:00pm

25Pittsburgh

L 26-37 vs Notre DameLast weekW 35-33 @ Virginia Tech

@ DukeNext week@ Boston College

51OFF plays last game62

78DEF plays last game75

Miles flown, last 21 days

318 mi16th26th448 mi

Stats from games played through week 5

EPA rank · adjusted

70thOffense57th

76thDefense26th

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

+3.5 North Carolina

Pittsburgh −3.5

North Carolina OFF vs Pittsburgh DEF

runs not stuffed68th9thstuffing runs

standard-down OFF79th28thstandard-down DEF

run OFF54th8thrun DEF

pass OFF55th31stpass DEF

big-play OFF112th131stbig-play DEF

passing-down OFF22nd8thpassing-down DEF

run blocking11th2ndrun DEF up front

North Carolina DEF vs Pittsburgh OFF

standard-down DEF76th100thstandard-down OFF

run DEF up front119th55thrun blocking

run DEF110th56thrun OFF

stuffing runs126th87thruns not stuffed

pass DEF65th85thpass OFF

big-play DEF45th32ndbig-play OFF

passing-down DEF64th55thpassing-down OFF

Pace & tendencies

59.3123rdPlays per game51st67.8

53%59thPass rate86th50%

72.328thPlays faced per game83rd65.3

North Carolina away 1 ATS trend

North Carolina+3.5 ATSfadecooling

Fading Narduzzi as a home fav of more than 3 points, off a win

64.5%

win rate

20-11

record

+23.2%

roi

+1.8ppg

avg cover

📈

WWWLWLWWWWWLWLLLWLLW

last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -5.3 ppg since 2013: 20-11 (64.5%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg

Acrisure Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.