Texas vs Oklahoma
Final — Texas 24, Oklahoma 27This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
1Texasvs
Oklahoma
Texas -7.5 · O/U 40.5
1TexasSaturday 2026-10-10
3:30pm
87°F · wind 9 mph · 💧 0%
OklahomaByeLast weekBye
vs FloridaNext weekvs Kentucky
59OFF plays last game70
77DEF plays last game53
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,959 mi87th81st1,781 mi
Exclude Texas weeks
Exclude Oklahoma weeks
Stats from games played through week 5
EPA rank · adjusted
64thOffense114th
7thDefense2nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−7.5 Texas vs Oklahoma +7.5
vs Oklahoma +7.5standard-down DEF3rd120thstandard-down OFF
run DEF12th127thrun OFF
run DEF up front8th109thrun blocking
stuffing runs23rd123rdruns not stuffed
big-play DEF35th100thbig-play OFF
run blocking105th10thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−7.5 Texas vs Oklahoma +7.5
vs Oklahoma +7.5Texas OFF vs Oklahoma DEF
big-play OFF113th56thbig-play DEF
run OFF57th6thrun DEF
runs not stuffed86th38thstuffing runs
standard-down OFF39th1ststandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF47th17thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF31st9thpass DEF
Texas DEF vs Oklahoma OFF
pass DEF7th52ndpass OFF
passing-down DEF23rd62ndpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
72.523rdPlays per game99th63.8
49%88thPass rate58th53%
65.084thPlays faced per game134th56.8
1Texas
1 ATS trend · 1 🔥
Texas-7.5
ATSfadeFading dogs of more than 3 points, off a bye, in the heat
69.2%
win rate
27-12
record
+32.2%
roi
+6.8ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWLWLWWWWWLWWLWWWLWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +5.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +4.0 ppg
since 2013: 27-12 (69.2%) · avg cover +6.8 ppg
Oklahoma
1 ATS trend
Oklahoma+7.5
ATScoolingAs a dog, in a conference game, in the heat
57.4%
win rate
117-87-5
record
+9.5%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWLLWWWWLWLLWLWLLW
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg cover -2.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -5.8 ppg
since 2013: 117-87-5 (57.4%) · avg cover +1.6 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 40.5
Over
With a team off a bye, in the heat
60.3%
win rate
35-23
record
+15.2%
roi
+5.5ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWLLLLWLWWLWWLLWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg over +3.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.0 ppg
since 2013: 35-23 (60.3%) · avg over +5.5 ppg
Under 40.5
Under
Steve Sarkisian as a fav of more than 7 points, off a win
64.0%
win rate
16-9
record
+22.2%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg under
📈
WWWWWLLWWWLWWLWLWLWL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under +0.1 ppg
since 2013: 16-9 (64.0%) · avg under +1.7 ppg
- Cotton Bowl · neutral site
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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