UCF at Oklahoma State

Final — UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

UCF@18Oklahoma State Oklahoma State -10 · O/U 53.5

UCF

Saturday 2026-10-10

12:00pm

18Oklahoma State

L 17-27 @ HoustonLast weekBye

ByeNext week@ Houston

61OFF plays last game70

78DEF plays last game87

Miles flown, last 21 days

2,774 mi98th86th1,925 mi

Stats from games played through week 5

EPA rank · adjusted

86thOffense93rd

13thDefense32nd

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

+10 UCF

Oklahoma State −10

big-play DEF18th129thbig-play OFF

pass OFF117th11thpass DEF

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

+10 UCF

Oklahoma State −10

UCF OFF vs Oklahoma State DEF

passing-down OFF65th9thpassing-down DEF

standard-down OFF118th69thstandard-down DEF

run OFF93rd71strun DEF

big-play OFF68th58thbig-play DEF

run blocking118th101strun DEF up front

runs not stuffed108th103rdstuffing runs

UCF DEF vs Oklahoma State OFF

passing-down DEF39th98thpassing-down OFF

run DEF up front13th50thrun blocking

pass DEF38th56thpass OFF

run DEF29th49thrun OFF

standard-down DEF35th36thstandard-down OFF

stuffing runs56th66thruns not stuffed

Pace & tendencies

56.5134thPlays per game4th81.7

52%66thPass rate65th52%

76.314thPlays faced per game54th68.7

18Oklahoma State home 2 ATS trends · 1 🔥

Oklahoma State-10 ATS

Morris as a home fav of more than 3 points

84.6%

win rate

11-2

record

+61.5%

roi

+14.1ppg

avg cover

🔥

LWLWWWWWWWWWW

last 10: 10-0 (100.0%) · avg cover +16.6 ppg since 2013: 11-2 (84.6%) · avg cover +14.1 ppg

Oklahoma State-10 ATScooling

At home, off a win, off a bye

55.5%

win rate

301-241-14

record

+6.0%

roi

+2.2ppg

avg cover

📈

LLWLWLWWLWLWWWLWWLLP

last 20: 10-9-1 (52.6%) · avg cover -1.2 ppg last 10: 5-4-1 (55.6%) · avg cover -4.5 ppg since 2013: 301-241-14 (55.5%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg

Over / Under

2 trends

Over 53.5 Over

Eric Morris as a fav, off a win

72.2%

win rate

13-5

record

+37.9%

roi

+7.4ppg

avg over

📈

WWLWWWWWLWWLWWWLLW

last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +5.3 ppg since 2013: 13-5 (72.2%) · avg over +7.4 ppg

Under 53.5 Under

Scott Frost as a dog

60.5%

win rate

23-15-1

record

+15.6%

roi

+3.7ppg

avg under

📈

LWLWLWWWWLLWWWLLWWWL

last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg under +4.4 ppg last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +6.8 ppg since 2013: 23-15-1 (60.5%) · avg under +3.7 ppg

Boone Pickens Stadium
Roof · outdoors

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 6 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.