Colorado State at Texas State
Final — Colorado State 27, Texas State 66This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Colorado State@
Texas State
Texas State -15.5 · O/U 69.5
Colorado StateThursday 2026-10-15
8:00pm
Texas StateByeLast weekBye
vs San Diego StateNext weekvs Utah State
56OFF plays last game104
69DEF plays last game53
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,552 mi107th96th2,297 mi
Exclude Colorado State weeks
Exclude Texas State weeks
Stats from games played through week 6
EPA rank · adjusted
33rdOffense34th
124thDefense97th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+15.5 Colorado State vs Texas State −15.5
vs Texas State −15.5passing-down OFF33rd116thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF41st121stpass DEF
pass DEF138th21stpass OFF
passing-down DEF112th3rdpassing-down OFF
run DEF129th27thrun OFF
standard-down DEF137th42ndstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front125th34thrun blocking
stuffing runs107th30thruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+15.5 Colorado State vs Texas State −15.5
vs Texas State −15.5Colorado State OFF vs Texas State DEF
big-play OFF15th60thbig-play DEF
standard-down OFF50th94thstandard-down DEF
run blocking101st37thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed70th13thstuffing runs
run OFF41st60thrun DEF
Colorado State DEF vs Texas State OFF
big-play DEF28th87thbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
67.555thPlays per game3rd82.0
55%33rdPass rate124th42%
64.093rdPlays faced per game36th70.8
Texas State
home
2 ATS trends · 1 🔥
Texas State-15.5
ATSfadeFading teams in a conference game, in primetime, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
61.9%
win rate
78-48-3
record
+18.2%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg cover
🔥
LWWPPLWWLWWWLWWLWLLW
last 20: 11-7-2 (61.1%) · avg cover +3.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +4.8 ppg
since 2013: 78-48-3 (61.9%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
Texas State-15.5
ATSfadeFading Mora as a dog, in primetime
71.4%
win rate
10-4-1
record
+36.4%
roi
+2.6ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWPWWLLWWW
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.0 ppg
since 2013: 10-4-1 (71.4%) · avg cover +2.6 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 69.5
Over
Jim Mora as a dog of more than 3 points
72.0%
win rate
18-7-2
record
+37.5%
roi
+5.2ppg
avg over
📈
WWPLWWWLWWWWWLWWWWWW
last 20: 16-3-1 (84.2%) · avg over +9.0 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +12.7 ppg
since 2013: 18-7-2 (72.0%) · avg over +5.2 ppg
Over 69.5
Over
Teams as a fav of more than 10 points, off a loss, in primetime
56.6%
win rate
223-171-1
record
+8.1%
roi
+2.5ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWWLWLWWLWLWWLLWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +6.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +3.3 ppg
since 2013: 223-171-1 (56.6%) · avg over +2.5 ppg
Over 69.5
Over
G.J. Kinne off a loss
66.7%
win rate
12-6
record
+27.3%
roi
+10.8ppg
avg over
📈
WLWWWLLWWLWWWWLLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +11.1 ppg
since 2013: 12-6 (66.7%) · avg over +10.8 ppg
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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