Florida at Texas
Final — Florida 27, Texas 24This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Florida@
7Texas
Texas -13.5 · O/U 51.5
FloridaSaturday 2026-10-17
12:00pm
7TexasL 19-38 vs South CarolinaLast weekL 24-27 vs Oklahoma
ByeNext weekvs Ole Miss
77OFF plays last game65
72DEF plays last game59
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,393 mi102nd23rd363 mi
Exclude Florida weeks
Exclude Texas weeks
Stats from games played through week 6
EPA rank · adjusted
18thOffense61st
91stDefense11th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+13.5 Florida vs Texas −13.5
vs Texas −13.5run blocking96th6thrun DEF up front
travel2,393 mi, 21 days102nd23rdtravel363 mi, 21 days
pass DEF106th32ndpass OFF
passing-down DEF120th53rdpassing-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+13.5 Florida vs Texas −13.5
vs Texas −13.5Florida OFF vs Texas DEF
runs not stuffed77th14thstuffing runs
big-play OFF54th16thbig-play DEF
run OFF31st8thrun DEF
pass OFF20th8thpass DEF
standard-down OFF25th7thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF24th14thpassing-down DEF
Florida DEF vs Texas OFF
stuffing runs116th69thruns not stuffed
standard-down DEF67th37thstandard-down OFF
run DEF80th51strun OFF
big-play DEF95th95thbig-play OFF
run DEF up front73rd85thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
72.820thPlays per game31st71.0
43%120thPass rate82nd50%
72.426thPlays faced per game98th63.8
Florida
away
1 ATS trend
Florida+13.5
ATSSumrall on the road
69.6%
win rate
16-7
record
+32.8%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWLWWWWWLLLWLWWLWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +0.9 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -6.2 ppg
since 2013: 16-7 (69.6%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
7Texas
home
1 ATS trend
Texas-13.5
ATSSarkisian as a fav, off a loss
68.2%
win rate
15-7
record
+30.2%
roi
+5.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWLLWWWWWLLWLWWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.7 ppg
since 2013: 15-7 (68.2%) · avg cover +5.3 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 51.5
Under
Steve Sarkisian at home
60.5%
win rate
23-15
record
+15.6%
roi
-0.2ppg
avg under
📈
LWLWWWLWLWWLLLWLWWWL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under -1.1 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg under -1.0 ppg
since 2013: 23-15 (60.5%) · avg under -0.2 ppg
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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