Navy at UTSA

Final — Navy 34, UTSA 38This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.

Navy@UTSA UTSA -5.5 · O/U 52.5

Navy

Saturday 2026-10-17

8:00pm

UTSA

W 34-26 vs TulsaLast weekW 31-24 vs South Florida

vs North TexasNext week@ Tulane

71OFF plays last game78

67DEF plays last game61

Miles flown, last 21 days

4,445 mi120th24th371 mi

Stats from games played through week 6

EPA rank · adjusted

70thOffense37th

72ndDefense65th

Schedule-adjusted matchup edges

+5.5 Navy

UTSA −5.5

runs not stuffed7th90thstuffing runs

run blocking5th76thrun DEF up front

travel4,445 mi, 21 days120th24thtravel371 mi, 21 days

More schedule-adjusted matchup stats

Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.

+5.5 Navy

UTSA −5.5

Navy OFF vs UTSA DEF

run OFF33rd67thrun DEF

pass OFF105th50thpass DEF

big-play OFF81st51stbig-play DEF

passing-down OFF107th79thpassing-down DEF

standard-down OFF34th53rdstandard-down DEF

Navy DEF vs UTSA OFF

run DEF up front7th69thrun blocking

stuffing runs16th65thruns not stuffed

pass DEF109th112thpass OFF

run DEF9th13thrun OFF

big-play DEF120th101stbig-play OFF

standard-down DEF26th43rdstandard-down OFF

passing-down DEF82nd62ndpassing-down OFF

Pace & tendencies

62.0114thPlays per game43rd68.8

28%136thPass rate84th50%

69.543rdPlays faced per game22nd72.8

UTSA home 1 ATS trend

UTSA-5.5 ATS

Traylor at home, in primetime

78.6%

win rate

11-3

record

+50.0%

roi

+9.6ppg

avg cover

📈

LWWWLWWWWWWWWL

last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +11.1 ppg since 2013: 11-3 (78.6%) · avg cover +9.6 ppg

Over / Under

2 trends

Over 52.5 Over

Jeff Traylor in primetime

75.0%

win rate

24-8

record

+43.2%

roi

+4.8ppg

avg over

🔥

LWLLWWWWWWLWWWWLLWWW

last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg over +3.0 ppg last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +3.0 ppg since 2013: 24-8 (75.0%) · avg over +4.8 ppg

Over 52.5 Over

Brian Newberry on the road, off a win

72.7%

win rate

8-3

record

+38.8%

roi

+2.4ppg

avg over

📈

WLWWWWWLLWW

last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over +2.1 ppg since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg over +2.4 ppg

Alamodome
Roof · dome

Run your own query on this matchup

Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.

Gamble Responsibly. 21+ Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at your book before betting. NFL betting trends by week and game.