New Mexico at Hawai'i
Final — New Mexico 21, Hawai'i 10This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
New Mexico@
Hawai'i
New Mexico -14.5 · O/U 46.5
New MexicoSaturday 2026-10-17
10:30pm
Hawai'iByeLast weekL 12-30 @ Arizona State
vs North Dakota StateNext week@ Northern Illinois
67OFF plays last game76
54DEF plays last game61
Miles flown, last 21 days
3,222 mi116th123rd5,825 mi
Exclude New Mexico weeks
Exclude Hawai'i weeks
Stats from games played through week 6
EPA rank · adjusted
39thOffense118th
14thDefense128th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−14.5 New Mexico vs Hawai'i +14.5
vs Hawai'i +14.5runs not stuffed12th121ststuffing runs
passing-down DEF22nd129thpassing-down OFF
run blocking27th128thrun DEF up front
run OFF39th131strun DEF
standard-down OFF38th130thstandard-down DEF
pass DEF26th115thpass OFF
run DEF24th98thrun OFF
standard-down DEF12th82ndstandard-down OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−14.5 New Mexico vs Hawai'i +14.5
vs Hawai'i +14.5New Mexico OFF vs Hawai'i DEF
passing-down OFF61st113thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF61st112thpass DEF
big-play OFF62nd32ndbig-play DEF
New Mexico DEF vs Hawai'i OFF
run DEF up front20th51strun blocking
stuffing runs40th67thruns not stuffed
big-play DEF99th121stbig-play OFF
Pace & tendencies
64.590thPlays per game19th73.0
42%123rdPass rate1st68%
58.8131stPlays faced per game84th65.3
New Mexico
away
1 ATS trend
New Mexico-14.5
ATSEck off a win
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+9.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWLWWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +9.3 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg cover +9.9 ppg
Hawai'i
home
2 ATS trends
Hawai'i+14.5
ATSChang as a dog of more than 10 points, in primetime
75.0%
win rate
12-4-1
record
+43.2%
roi
+4.7ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWLWWWLWWPWWLWW
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 12-4-1 (75.0%) · avg cover +4.7 ppg
Hawai'i+14.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, after crossing 3+ time zones west, in primetime
66.7%
win rate
20-10-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+3.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLLWWWWLWPWWWWLWL
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +5.5 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +2.1 ppg
since 2013: 20-10-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.9 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Under 46.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
57.8%
win rate
247-180-5
record
+10.4%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
LWLLLWWLLWWLWWWLLWWW
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg under +2.9 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +8.9 ppg
since 2013: 247-180-5 (57.8%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Under 46.5
Under
Timmy Chang off a loss, in primetime
74.1%
win rate
20-7
record
+41.4%
roi
+4.6ppg
avg under
🔥
WLWWLWWWWWLLLWWWWWWW
last 20: 15-5 (75.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 20-7 (74.1%) · avg under +4.6 ppg
Over 46.5
Over
In a conference game, with a team crossing 3+ time zones, with a spread of more than 10 points
61.7%
win rate
29-18-2
record
+17.8%
roi
+2.4ppg
avg over
📈
WPLWWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLW
last 20: 16-3-1 (84.2%) · avg over +7.7 ppg
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +8.3 ppg
since 2013: 29-18-2 (61.7%) · avg over +2.4 ppg
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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