TCU at Baylor
Final — TCU 17, Baylor 6This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
TCU@
Baylor
Baylor -3.5 · O/U 50.5
TCUSaturday 2026-10-17
7:00pm
BaylorByeLast weekBye
vs West VirginiaNext week@ Kansas
57OFF plays last game82
63DEF plays last game74
Miles flown, last 21 days
81 mi10th89th1,745 mi
Exclude TCU weeks
Exclude Baylor weeks
Stats from games played through week 6
EPA rank · adjusted
103rdOffense44th
7thDefense32nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+3.5 TCU vs Baylor −3.5
vs Baylor −3.5standard-down DEF18th103rdstandard-down OFF
travel81 mi, 21 days10th89thtravel1,745 mi, 21 days
run OFF131st13thrun DEF
runs not stuffed117th27thstuffing runs
run blocking132nd49thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+3.5 TCU vs Baylor −3.5
vs Baylor −3.5TCU OFF vs Baylor DEF
standard-down OFF86th23rdstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF114th71stpassing-down DEF
big-play OFF47th14thbig-play DEF
pass OFF63rd58thpass DEF
TCU DEF vs Baylor OFF
run DEF25th82ndrun OFF
pass DEF17th64thpass OFF
run DEF up front64th104thrun blocking
big-play DEF2nd6thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF36th31stpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs69th62ndruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
66.378thPlays per game4th81.5
53%53rdPass rate43rd54%
58.0133rdPlays faced per game6th77.0
Baylor
home
2 ATS trends
Baylor-3.5
ATSfadeFading Dykes on the road, off a loss
71.4%
win rate
15-6
record
+36.4%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWWWLLWWWWWWLWLL
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +8.9 ppg
since 2013: 15-6 (71.4%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
Baylor-3.5
ATScoolingAt home, off a win, off a bye
55.9%
win rate
305-241-14
record
+6.6%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLWLWWWLWWLLPWWWW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2013: 305-241-14 (55.9%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 50.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Under 50.5
Under
Sonny Dykes as a dog of more than 3 points, in primetime
69.2%
win rate
9-4
record
+32.2%
roi
+7.8ppg
avg under
📈
WWWLWLWLWWLWW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under +8.8 ppg
since 2013: 9-4 (69.2%) · avg under +7.8 ppg
- McLane Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 7 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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