BYU at UCF
2BYU@
UCF
BYU -7 · O/U 43.5
2BYUSaturday 2026-10-24
3:30pm
79°F · wind 14 mph · 💧 11%
UCFW 28-24 vs Notre DameLast weekBye
vs Arizona StateNext weekvs Baylor
69OFF plays last game82
79DEF plays last game63
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,901 mi79th85th2,120 mi
Exclude BYU weeks
Exclude UCF weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
13thOffense77th
25thDefense23rd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−7 BYU vs UCF +7
vs UCF +7standard-down DEF12th115thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front50th128thrun blocking
pass DEF9th85thpass OFF
stuffing runs41st115thruns not stuffed
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−7 BYU vs UCF +7
vs UCF +7BYU OFF vs UCF DEF
pass OFF24th57thpass DEF
standard-down OFF14th40thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF27th51stpassing-down DEF
big-play OFF70th12thbig-play DEF
run OFF14th26thrun DEF
run blocking34th13thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed64th59thstuffing runs
BYU DEF vs UCF OFF
run DEF27th91strun OFF
big-play DEF77th62ndbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF46th36thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
62.2113thPlays per game121st61.6
47%95thPass rate62nd52%
64.890thPlays faced per game15th73.6
2BYU
away
1 ATS trend
BYU-7
ATSSitake off a win
59.5%
win rate
47-32-1
record
+13.6%
roi
+2.3ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWWWLLWWWLWWLWWWWW
last 20: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +4.0 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
since 2013: 47-32-1 (59.5%) · avg cover +2.3 ppg
UCF
home
1 ATS trend
UCF+7
ATSfadeFading favs, playing 15°+ warmer than at home
57.6%
win rate
106-78-4
record
+10.0%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWLWPWLLWWWWLWLWWWL
last 20: 12-7-1 (63.2%) · avg cover +3.8 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 106-78-4 (57.6%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 43.5
Under
Scott Frost as a home dog of more than 3 points
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+6.5ppg
avg under
📈
LWLLWWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +8.4 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg under +6.5 ppg
- FBC Mortgage Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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