Massachusetts at UConn
Final — Massachusetts 16, UConn 35This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Massachusetts@
UConn
UConn -12.5 · O/U 53.5
MassachusettsFriday 2026-10-23
7:00pm
UConnL 18-25 @ BuffaloLast weekBye
ByeNext week@ Air Force
72OFF plays last game64
81DEF plays last game62
Miles flown, last 21 days
683 mi36th16th370 mi
Exclude Massachusetts weeks
Exclude UConn weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
90thOffense65th
65thDefense90th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+12.5 Massachusetts vs UConn −12.5
vs UConn −12.5run DEF up front118th53rdrun blocking
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+12.5 Massachusetts vs UConn −12.5
vs UConn −12.5Massachusetts OFF vs UConn DEF
passing-down OFF57th119thpassing-down DEF
pass OFF72nd125thpass DEF
run blocking62nd88thrun DEF up front
big-play OFF110th49thbig-play DEF
run OFF74th75thrun DEF
standard-down OFF91st107thstandard-down DEF
runs not stuffed72nd86thstuffing runs
Massachusetts DEF vs UConn OFF
run DEF110th53rdrun OFF
passing-down DEF98th50thpassing-down OFF
stuffing runs115th90thruns not stuffed
pass DEF67th59thpass OFF
big-play DEF25th14thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF78th73rdstandard-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
62.0117thPlays per game85th65.4
46%107thPass rate86th50%
70.437thPlays faced per game15th73.6
Massachusetts
away
1 ATS trend
Massachusetts+12.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 10 points, off a bye, in primetime
56.3%
win rate
112-87-4
record
+7.4%
roi
+1.1ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLWWLWWLLLWLLLLWWLL
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg cover -4.8 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg cover -9.6 ppg
since 2013: 112-87-4 (56.3%) · avg cover +1.1 ppg
UConn
home
2 ATS trends
UConn-12.5
ATSfadeFading dogs of more than 7 points, in a non-conference game, against a team off a bye
61.1%
win rate
69-44-6
record
+16.6%
roi
+4.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLLLLLWWWLWWWLWWW
last 20: 12-8 (60.0%) · avg cover +6.2 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +13.2 ppg
since 2013: 69-44-6 (61.1%) · avg cover +4.4 ppg
UConn-12.5
ATSfadeFading Harasymiak off a loss
71.4%
win rate
10-4
record
+36.4%
roi
+8.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLWWWLWLWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +10.2 ppg
since 2013: 10-4 (71.4%) · avg cover +8.5 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 53.5
Over
Joe Harasymiak as a dog of more than 7 points
72.7%
win rate
8-3
record
+38.8%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg over
📈
WLLWWWWWWWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg over -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 8-3 (72.7%) · avg over +0.8 ppg
Under 53.5
Undercooling
With a team off a bye, in primetime, with a total of 50+
55.3%
win rate
265-214-5
record
+5.6%
roi
+1.6ppg
avg under
📈
LLLLWLLLLLWWLWWLWWWW
last 20: 9-11 (45.0%) · avg under +0.9 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +11.3 ppg
since 2013: 265-214-5 (55.3%) · avg under +1.6 ppg
Over 53.5
Overcooling
Jason Candle in primetime
60.0%
win rate
27-18
record
+14.5%
roi
+4.2ppg
avg over
📈
WLWLWLLWWWWLLLLWWLWL
last 20: 10-10 (50.0%) · avg over +1.8 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg over -4.3 ppg
since 2013: 27-18 (60.0%) · avg over +4.2 ppg
- Pratt & Whitney Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
Gamble Responsibly. 21+
Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
your book before betting.
NFL
betting trends by week and game.