Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Final — Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Middle Tennessee@
Florida International
Florida International -10 · O/U 46.5
Middle TennesseeTuesday 2026-10-20
7:00pm
Florida InternationalW 33-30 vs DelawareLast weekL 24-27 @ Jacksonville State
vs Kennesaw StateNext week@ Liberty
62OFF plays last game74
67DEF plays last game56
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,295 mi61st60th1,288 mi
Exclude Middle Tennessee weeks
Exclude Florida International weeks
EPA rank · adjusted
93rdOffense109th
105thDefense29th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
+10 Middle Tennessee
vs
Florida International −10
vs
Florida International −10big-play DEF22nd105thbig-play OFF
passing-down OFF107th13thpassing-down DEF
run OFF102nd22ndrun DEF
pass OFF113th35thpass DEF
run blocking98th29thrun DEF up front
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
+10 Middle Tennessee
vs
Florida International −10
vs
Florida International −10Middle Tennessee OFF vs Florida International DEF
runs not stuffed108th54thstuffing runs
standard-down OFF88th47thstandard-down DEF
big-play OFF72nd37thbig-play DEF
Middle Tennessee DEF vs Florida International OFF
pass DEF104th68thpass OFF
run DEF124th135thrun OFF
standard-down DEF124th112thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF77th81stpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front134th129thrun blocking
stuffing runs121st110thruns not stuffed
Pace & tendencies
60.4127thPlays per game9th75.2
59%12thPass rate36th55%
68.253rdPlays faced per game119th62.0
Florida International
home
1 ATS trend
Florida International-10
ATSfadeFading Mason off a win, in primetime
64.7%
win rate
11-6
record
+23.5%
roi
+1.5ppg
avg cover
📈
LWLWWWLLWWWWWWLWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
since 2013: 11-6 (64.7%) · avg cover +1.5 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 46.5
Under
Derek Mason in primetime
75.0%
win rate
21-7
record
+43.2%
roi
+6.6ppg
avg under
🔥
LWWWLWLWWWLWLWWWWWLL
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +3.6 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg under -0.1 ppg
since 2013: 21-7 (75.0%) · avg under +6.6 ppg
- Pitbull Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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