NC State at Stanford
Final — NC State 28, Stanford 31This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
NC State@
Stanford
NC State -7.5 · O/U 54.5
NC StateFriday 2026-10-23
10:30pm
StanfordByeLast weekW 34-7 vs Elon
vs CaliforniaNext week@ Louisville
63OFF plays last game–
72DEF plays last game–
Miles flown, last 21 days
2,390 mi89th111th8,447 mi
Exclude NC State weeks
Exclude Stanford weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
66thOffense69th
115thDefense132nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−7.5 NC State vs Stanford +7.5
vs Stanford +7.5passing-down OFF30th136thpassing-down DEF
stuffing runs31st117thruns not stuffed
pass OFF26th110thpass DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−7.5 NC State vs Stanford +7.5
vs Stanford +7.5NC State OFF vs Stanford DEF
big-play OFF79th131stbig-play DEF
runs not stuffed91st123rdstuffing runs
run blocking104th127thrun DEF up front
run OFF130th134thrun DEF
standard-down OFF95th116thstandard-down DEF
NC State DEF vs Stanford OFF
run DEF up front68th105thrun blocking
big-play DEF108th68thbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF93rd70thstandard-down OFF
pass DEF115th100thpass OFF
run DEF108th99thrun OFF
passing-down DEF114th114thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
71.823rdPlays per game93rd64.3
53%54thPass rate25th56%
63.6108thPlays faced per game25th72.0
NC State
away
1 ATS trend
NC State-7.5
ATSOff a loss, after crossing 3+ time zones west, with a total of 50+
61.0%
win rate
25-16
record
+16.4%
roi
+0.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWLWLWWWWLLWLWLWLL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover -2.3 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -6.0 ppg
since 2013: 25-16 (61.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
Stanford
home
2 ATS trends
Stanford+7.5
ATSfadeFading favs of more than 7 points, after crossing 3+ time zones west, with a total of 50+
70.0%
win rate
21-9-1
record
+33.6%
roi
+2.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLLLWWWLWWPWWWLWWLW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +1.3 ppg
last 10: 7-2-1 (77.8%) · avg cover +6.3 ppg
since 2013: 21-9-1 (70.0%) · avg cover +2.9 ppg
Stanford+7.5
ATSfadeFading Doeren on the road, in primetime
70.0%
win rate
14-6
record
+33.6%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
LLWWLWWWWWLWWWWWWLLW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
since 2013: 14-6 (70.0%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Under 54.5
Under
In a conference game, with a team off a bye, in primetime
58.0%
win rate
251-182-5
record
+10.7%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg under
🔥
WLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWLWWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg under +6.1 ppg
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +9.4 ppg
since 2013: 251-182-5 (58.0%) · avg under +1.8 ppg
Over 54.5
Over
Dave Doeren as a fav of more than 7 points, off a loss
68.8%
win rate
11-5
record
+31.3%
roi
+4.6ppg
avg over
📈
WLWLLLWWWWWLWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +5.7 ppg
since 2013: 11-5 (68.8%) · avg over +4.6 ppg
- Stanford Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
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