North Texas at Navy
Final — North Texas 49, Navy 39This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
North Texas@
Navy
North Texas -3 · O/U 60.5
North TexasSaturday 2026-10-24
3:30pm
NavyByeLast weekL 34-38 @ UTSA
vs Florida AtlanticNext weekvs Notre Dame
71OFF plays last game59
59DEF plays last game70
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,217 mi55th93rd2,827 mi
Exclude North Texas weeks
Exclude Navy weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
14thOffense46th
97thDefense72nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−3 North Texas vs Navy +3
vs Navy +3big-play OFF5th125thbig-play DEF
pass OFF11th112thpass DEF
stuffing runs106th10thruns not stuffed
run blocking83rd9thrun DEF up front
run OFF85th12thrun DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−3 North Texas vs Navy +3
vs Navy +3North Texas OFF vs Navy DEF
passing-down OFF35th66thpassing-down DEF
runs not stuffed60th24thstuffing runs
standard-down OFF25th38thstandard-down DEF
North Texas DEF vs Navy OFF
standard-down DEF88th29thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front55th6thrun blocking
run DEF66th22ndrun OFF
pass DEF121st92ndpass OFF
big-play DEF52nd57thbig-play OFF
passing-down DEF111th106thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
76.27thPlays per game122nd61.4
56%23rdPass rate136th26%
66.077thPlays faced per game43rd69.6
North Texas
away
2 ATS trends
North Texas-3
ATSAs a fav of 3 points or fewer, off a win, off a bye
57.8%
win rate
108-79-6
record
+10.3%
roi
+1.4ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWWLWWLWWLWLWLLWLW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg cover +1.0 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -7.5 ppg
since 2013: 108-79-6 (57.8%) · avg cover +1.4 ppg
North Texas-3
ATSfadeFading Newberry off a loss
66.7%
win rate
10-5
record
+27.3%
roi
+2.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWWLLWLWWLW
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +0.8 ppg
since 2013: 10-5 (66.7%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
Navy
home
1 ATS trend
Navy+3
ATSAs a home dog of 3 points or fewer, with a total of 50+
57.1%
win rate
217-163-19
record
+9.0%
roi
+1.9ppg
avg cover
📈
WLLLLPWLWLWLWLWWWLLW
last 20: 9-10-1 (47.4%) · avg cover -0.2 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
since 2013: 217-163-19 (57.1%) · avg cover +1.9 ppg
Over / Under
2 trends
Over 60.5
Over
Neal Brown as a road fav, off a win
78.6%
win rate
11-3
record
+50.0%
roi
+8.0ppg
avg over
📈
LWWLWWWWLWWWWW
last 10: 9-1 (90.0%) · avg over +13.6 ppg
since 2013: 11-3 (78.6%) · avg over +8.0 ppg
Over 60.5
Over
Brian Newberry at home
65.0%
win rate
13-7
record
+24.1%
roi
+4.9ppg
avg over
📈
LWLLLLWWWWLWWLWWWWWW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg over +7.0 ppg
since 2013: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +4.9 ppg
- Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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