Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Final — Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Oklahoma@
Mississippi State
Oklahoma -1.5 · O/U 49.5
OklahomaSaturday 2026-10-24
3:30pm
Mississippi StateL 13-21 vs KentuckyLast weekL 0-31 @ LSU
vs South CarolinaNext week@ Texas
71OFF plays last game69
58DEF plays last game71
Miles flown, last 21 days
852 mi41st24th505 mi
Exclude Oklahoma weeks
Exclude Mississippi State weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
106thOffense28th
5thDefense62nd
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−1.5 Oklahoma vs Mississippi State +1.5
vs Mississippi State +1.5big-play OFF124th8thbig-play DEF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−1.5 Oklahoma vs Mississippi State +1.5
vs Mississippi State +1.5Oklahoma OFF vs Mississippi State DEF
pass OFF57th94thpass DEF
run OFF126th67thrun DEF
standard-down OFF106th99thstandard-down DEF
passing-down OFF76th67thpassing-down DEF
run blocking118th98thrun DEF up front
runs not stuffed119th105thstuffing runs
Oklahoma DEF vs Mississippi State OFF
stuffing runs43rd82ndruns not stuffed
pass DEF13th16thpass OFF
run DEF8th21strun OFF
big-play DEF55th73rdbig-play OFF
standard-down DEF1st13thstandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF16th25thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front19th41strun blocking
Pace & tendencies
64.294thPlays per game26th71.5
55%32ndPass rate56th53%
58.3134thPlays faced per game31st71.0
Mississippi State
home
1 ATS trend
Mississippi State+1.5
ATSfadeFading favs of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.3%
win rate
442-357-24
record
+5.6%
roi
+1.7ppg
avg cover
📈
WWLWWLLLLWLLLWLLWLLW
last 20: 8-12 (40.0%) · avg cover -3.4 ppg
last 10: 3-7 (30.0%) · avg cover -8.7 ppg
since 2013: 442-357-24 (55.3%) · avg cover +1.7 ppg
Over / Under
3 trends
Over 49.5
Over
Jeff Lebby at home
72.2%
win rate
13-5
record
+37.9%
roi
+6.3ppg
avg over
📈
WWWWWWWLWLWWWLWLWL
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +7.3 ppg
since 2013: 13-5 (72.2%) · avg over +6.3 ppg
Under 49.5
Under
Brent Venables as a road fav
66.7%
win rate
10-5
record
+27.3%
roi
+3.3ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWLLWLWWLWWWW
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.6 ppg
since 2013: 10-5 (66.7%) · avg under +3.3 ppg
Over 49.5
Over
Teams as a road fav of 3 points or fewer, off a loss
55.9%
win rate
118-93-1
record
+6.8%
roi
+2.9ppg
avg over
📈
LWWWWLWLWWLWWLLWWLWW
last 20: 13-7 (65.0%) · avg over +4.8 ppg
last 10: 6-4 (60.0%) · avg over +7.2 ppg
since 2013: 118-93-1 (55.9%) · avg over +2.9 ppg
- Davis Wade Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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