Oregon at Illinois
Final — Oregon 10, Illinois 21This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
Oregon@
Illinois
Oregon -10.5 · O/U 49.5
OregonSaturday 2026-10-24
3:00pm
IllinoisW 17-14 vs NebraskaLast weekBye
vs NorthwesternNext week@ Maryland
76OFF plays last game73
68DEF plays last game53
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,793 mi76th28th532 mi
Exclude Oregon weeks
Exclude Illinois weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
97thOffense31st
7thDefense137th
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−10.5 Oregon vs Illinois +10.5
vs Illinois +10.5Oregon OFF vs Illinois DEF
passing-down OFF72nd123rdpassing-down DEF
pass OFF91st133rdpass DEF
big-play OFF71st103rdbig-play DEF
run OFF106th105thrun DEF
standard-down OFF104th119thstandard-down DEF
run blocking109th91strun DEF up front
runs not stuffed98th100thstuffing runs
Oregon DEF vs Illinois OFF
run DEF6th47thrun OFF
standard-down DEF3rd34thstandard-down OFF
run DEF up front5th31strun blocking
big-play DEF90th47thbig-play OFF
stuffing runs40th14thruns not stuffed
pass DEF11th13thpass OFF
passing-down DEF22nd16thpassing-down OFF
Pace & tendencies
66.670thPlays per game86th65.2
56%28thPass rate35th55%
73.814thPlays faced per game103rd64.0
Oregon
away
2 ATS trends
Oregon-10.5
ATSLanning on the road
63.6%
win rate
14-8-1
record
+21.5%
roi
+3.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWPWWWLWWLLWWLWLWL
last 20: 12-7-1 (63.2%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
last 10: 5-5 (50.0%) · avg cover -1.1 ppg
since 2013: 14-8-1 (63.6%) · avg cover +3.2 ppg
Oregon-10.5
ATSfadecoolingFading home dogs of more than 10 points, off a win
55.8%
win rate
192-152-4
record
+6.6%
roi
+0.5ppg
avg cover
📈
WWWWLWWLWLWLLWWWLLLL
last 20: 11-9 (55.0%) · avg cover +0.3 ppg
last 10: 4-6 (40.0%) · avg cover -4.7 ppg
since 2013: 192-152-4 (55.8%) · avg cover +0.5 ppg
Illinois
home
1 ATS trend
Illinois+10.5
ATScoolingAt home, off a win, off a bye
55.9%
win rate
305-241-14
record
+6.6%
roi
+2.2ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWLWLWWWLWWLLPWWWW
last 20: 13-6-1 (68.4%) · avg cover +2.7 ppg
last 10: 6-3-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +3.1 ppg
since 2013: 305-241-14 (55.9%) · avg cover +2.2 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 49.5
Under
Bret Bielema as a dog of more than 10 points
82.4%
win rate
14-3
record
+57.2%
roi
+6.6ppg
avg under
🔥
WLWWWWWWWLWWWWWLW
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg under +6.0 ppg
since 2013: 14-3 (82.4%) · avg under +6.6 ppg
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
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