Texas Tech at Cincinnati
Final — Texas Tech 24, Cincinnati 37This game has been played. The records below were rebuilt afterwards, so they now include it.
8Texas Tech@
Cincinnati
Texas Tech -10.5 · O/U 57.5
8Texas TechSaturday 2026-10-24
12:00pm
CincinnatiW 53-25 vs Arizona StateLast weekL 42-45 @ West Virginia
vs ArizonaNext weekvs Utah
67OFF plays last game71
72DEF plays last game81
Miles flown, last 21 days
1,037 mi49th21st492 mi
Exclude Texas Tech weeks
Exclude Cincinnati weeks
Stats from games played through week 7
EPA rank · adjusted
41stOffense24th
18thDefense104th
Schedule-adjusted matchup edges
−10.5 Texas Tech
vs
Cincinnati +10.5
vs
Cincinnati +10.5pass OFF29th116thpass DEF
passing-down OFF21st108thpassing-down DEF
big-play DEF112th11thbig-play OFF
More schedule-adjusted matchup stats
Every matchup area, ranked 1-138, adjusted for opponents. Coloured when the two ranks are more than 22 apart. Pace & tendencies are plain. FBS teams with 3+ FBS games; garbage time excluded (play counts excepted). Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
−10.5 Texas Tech
vs
Cincinnati +10.5
vs
Cincinnati +10.5Texas Tech OFF vs Cincinnati DEF
run OFF19th83rdrun DEF
standard-down OFF39th98thstandard-down DEF
run blocking43rd94thrun DEF up front
big-play OFF109th87thbig-play DEF
runs not stuffed84th82ndstuffing runs
Texas Tech DEF vs Cincinnati OFF
run DEF17th42ndrun OFF
stuffing runs21st46thruns not stuffed
pass DEF40th47thpass OFF
standard-down DEF20th41ststandard-down OFF
passing-down DEF32nd28thpassing-down OFF
run DEF up front21st26thrun blocking
Pace & tendencies
66.868thPlays per game104th63.4
49%92ndPass rate110th45%
73.615thPlays faced per game9th74.4
8Texas Tech
away
2 ATS trends
Texas Tech-10.5
ATSMcGuire as a fav of more than 10 points, off a win
76.9%
win rate
10-3
record
+46.9%
roi
+5.6ppg
avg cover
📈
LWWWWWWWLWWWL
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +5.6 ppg
since 2013: 10-3 (76.9%) · avg cover +5.6 ppg
Texas Tech-10.5
ATSfadeFading Satterfield as a dog, off a loss
66.7%
win rate
16-8-1
record
+27.3%
roi
+1.8ppg
avg cover
📈
WLWWWPWWLLWLWWWWWWWL
last 20: 14-5-1 (73.7%) · avg cover +4.5 ppg
last 10: 8-2 (80.0%) · avg cover +7.3 ppg
since 2013: 16-8-1 (66.7%) · avg cover +1.8 ppg
Over / Under
1 trend
Under 57.5
Under
Joey McGuire on the road, off a win
75.0%
win rate
12-4
record
+43.2%
roi
+8.7ppg
avg under
📈
WLWWWWWWWWWLWLWL
last 10: 7-3 (70.0%) · avg under +4.8 ppg
since 2013: 12-4 (75.0%) · avg under +8.7 ppg
- Nippert Stadium
- Roof · outdoors
Run your own query on this matchup
Every other game this week: Week 8 2026 trends.
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Historical trends, not predictions. Records are graded against the
closing line at −110 assumed juice. Confirm every number and price at
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